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Re: [atheists-501] 2 meetings, attached article

From: Yalchin
Sent on: Wednesday, June 17, 2009, 10:25 AM
Hi everyone,

I left Brisbane soon after I joined the group so I have never been able to attend any of the meetings. Nevertheless I have been reading the emails.

I think the one below by Jaime is a good one. The 'problem of overpopulation' gets a mention all the time (and not just here) with the impression that it is a self-evident fact! And at first sight, it appears so... But, scratch the surface a little bit, and things look different.

First there is no one ideal number as to what the world population should be. The ideal world population is not just a function of the earth's resources, but also of 1-) our ability to work those resources and 2-) the optimality of the distribution of the benefit gained from the resources.

In todays world, we have serious problems with both 1-) and 2-). The is somewhat periodic, senseless raping of nature, to feed overproduction and overcomsumption. And much worse, many a family's livelihood is tied up with this process. That is, there must be wasteful overconsumption in some part of the world, so that there is senseless raping of nature on which  millions of families depend for their wage and survival. There is of course the senseless raping of human nature  so to speak, in the form of sweatshops in countries where there is overproduction to feed the overcomsumption.

So what we have is a seriously punishing optimization problem. working of resources, and the distribution of the benefits we extract from them are essential for human existence. However, in relation to how much, there is a relatively narrow band that is optimal. Both too much and too little are deadly. And this is where we seem to be. The US has a fraction of the population of Africa, yet Africa's consumption of resources is yet a smaller fraction of that of the US.

We should have a serious long hard look at how we create the necessities of life and how we distribute them, before we started debating an absolute ideal for world population.

yalchin


From: Jaime Francisco Mejia <[address removed]>
To: [address removed]
Sent: Tuesday, June 16,[masked]:00:38 PM
Subject: RE: [atheists-501] 2 meetings, attached article

After reading Geoffrey's email, I feel compelled to reply. Please accept my apologies if I have acted inappropriately, but I believe this is a very important issue and as someone involved in air quality research I feel obliged to join in the debate.

There is no doubt that there is a genuine concern about the current state of the environment and the future of the planet. And I am firmly convinced that there is a lot of good-will among ordinary people. But good intentions alone are not sufficient. We cannot cure a disease unless we have a knowledge of medicine, and we cannot guide a ship unless we have a knowledge of navigation. In the same way, we cannot restore the earth's ecological balance unless we have an understanding of the causes and processes causing the environmental crisis.

There are several arguments about the causes of the environmental crisis and the scientific community is divided about these issues. However, there is a general agreement (except among those who have put personal interests over professional ethics) that the earth's is getting warmer as a result of increased greenhouse emission.

We need to look at the real causes of this crisis, and we need a concerted effort at international level, because this is a global crisis, transcending national boundaries.

Our solution should seek to balance the needs of society and the environment. Blaming the crisis on the population explosion does not solve the problem, because it is in my view a very dangerous proposition. If we believe this argument, what would our solution be? Reduce the size of the population? How are we going to achieve this? By killing entire nations? Through mass sterilization of "inferior" people? Why not trying to find new environmentally sustainable technologies? Why do some of the biggest polluters, for example the coal mining sector, has consistently attempted to discredit the scientific findings that the earth is getting warmer?

I believe we need to integrate social, technological and scientific approaches to deal with the crisis. The social component will seek to identify alternatives to satisfy social needs with minimal environmental impacts, for example, through improved public transport services to minimize the dependence on private vehicles; the technical component will explore the available technologies selecting those with the lowest environmental impacts; the scientific component will continue investigating the physical, chemical and biological processes in the environment, monitoring the progress and effectiveness of the applied environmental policies and technologies, and doing more research to stop and even reverse the existing damage to the environment.

Well, this is what I think and I might be probably be wrong. And please once again accept my sincerest apology if I have acted inappropriately by replying to Geoffrey's comments.

Yours in solidarity,

Jaime Mejia




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