HOW TO MAKE MONEY TRADING OR INVESTING IN APPLE STOCK, OR ANY STOCK!
BY TOM LLOYD SR.
Harvard has proved the best way to teach people about analyzing companies is to use the case study method.
So we are posting our "Harvard-like" case study of Apple on our Meetup front page for all to read, follow and learn how to invest and trade. We guarantee that if you diligently study every line of this case study that you will go from being a novice to being an experienced trader or investor. If this case study does not help you, we will give you a 3-month free subscription to help you become a pro.
Here is the link to the free case study that is open to the public. Give it to any novice you know.
The charts provide pictures for those who don't like to read! If you are an experienced trader or investor sign up for our 14-day free trial and go to our free public charts with detailed comments at:
Our technical Demand/Supply signal tells you where price is going short term.
Our most important fundamental/technical signal, the SID grade tells you when to buy for the long term.
Our fundamental Implied Return signal tells you what to expect in 12-months, based on analysts targets and ratings. If the stock has a failing SID grade then we cut the implied return in half as a penalty for not having a passing SID grade and because analysts are slow to downgrade and hardly ever give sell ratings.
So sit back and enjoy this case study. You will learn everything you need to know about investing and trading. PLUS IT IS FUN TO WATCH WHILE YOU ARE LEARNING. DON'T FORGET THAT OUR SID SYSTEM IS SMART AND NOT JUST QUANTITATIVE! IT HAS NO EMOTIONS AND IS RUN BY A COMPUTER. All stocks with buy signals are picked by the computer.
Author of "Successful Stock Signals" Wiley, discounted price at StockCharts.com bookstore.
PS Do your friends a favor and flip this to them!! It is free to learn. Scoll to the bottom of this page for the latest AAPL update.
PPS Our footnotes on every chart tell you what we think the chart and our SID signals are saying! You don't have to become a technical or fundamental analyst! You will even see where we were fooled by the market! Positive and negative surprises will do that!
SCROLL TO THE BOTTOM FOR THE LATEST CHART AND FOOTNOTE COMMENTS IF YOU ARE AN EXPERIENCED TRADER OR INVESTOR.
HERE IS THE STARTING POINT FOR OUR CASE STUDY ON APPLE. OUR PUBLISHED ARTICLE ON MARKETWATCH.COM
Here are the tools you will need to analyze any stock you are interested in and to do your own due diligence on any stock picked by the system or given to you by anyone:
Here is a link to consensus target, hi- low target, latest analyst estimates and direction,
Here is a link to on-balance buying and selling by institutional portfolio managers--
Here is a link to the plain vanilla daily and weekly charts--
Here is a link to AAPL news, analyst targets, chart, fundamental data--
OUR PROPRIETARY CHARTS, AAPL WEEKLY CHART AND FOOTNOTES Friday close 5/27 , for the latest chart and footnotes scroll down to the last chart.
6/3 chart at close, demand now dropping, grade also dropping
6/7 AAPL DAILY CHART UPDATE
6/8 TWTR rumor and analyst target of 185 does little to move price up
6/9 daily chart, Demand turns down, pls read 6/9 comments at bottom of the chart
6/9 Merrill Lynch BAC target of 120 for AAPL
6/10 Demand taking price higher, continuing to fill the gap down from 104
6/11/16, Demand still positive & strong for traders, but for investors a bearish drop in our SID grade from 27 to 13 out of 100. A very bad failing grade that includes fundamentals.
6/14 Demand turns down following the downturn in our longer term SID grade, at 97.56 tgt retest 90
6/16 JPM analyst reduces target from 125 to 105, Demand dropping, tgt retest 90
6/17 Increasing Supply taking price down, targeting a re-test of $90 support
6/21 Oversold bounce from 95 support to 97-98 resistance, expect failure, Supply, tgt 90 retest.
6/22 relative strength continues down, Supply fails to improve, bounce fades
6/24 Brexit provides push down to retest 90, but today a weak attempt to fill the gap down.
6/25 point & figure chart clearly shows 90 as the target to test, but there may be a bounce to fill the Brexit gap down before resuming the trip down to test 90 and I expect that support to eventually fail due to the descending triangle on the weekly chart and this being the FOURTH test of that support!!
6/28 Brexit pressures AAPL toward a retest of 90 support, which could fail this 4th retest of this major support, the base of a bearish descending triangle, on the weekly chart shown at the beginning of our case study above.
7/2 still in "short the pops" mode, at 96 target a retest of 92, eventually a breakdown below 90, on balance selling by growth portfolio managers continues, so far buying by value players cannot absorb the Supply.
7/10/16 Supply improves breaking above the red line into Demand, taking price higher to test resistance. No retest of 92 until Demand starts dropping. Looking for analyst downgrades before earnings are announced .
7/20 I bought puts today because I expect price to drop after earnings are reported on next Tuesday 7/26/16
7/27/16 earnings surprise, short squeeze, price pops from 97 to 103 after hours. Tomorrow, 7/28, Wednesday, I expect it to open at 101-103 and move higher until most of the shorts are covered by the end of the day. Next week I look for a pullback to retest 101 support. I don't think analysts will raise targets and price will be determined by the year end forecasts.
7/28/16 chart after earnings. I expect it to go down and fill that earnings gap up.--
8/31/16 demand still testing resistance but SID grade is failing and dropping, bearish signal. On this pop up the SID grade needed to break above the line into a passing grade and it needed to stay passing on the next pullback!
8/7/16 price continues to push higher after earnings, helped by market boost from positive payroll data, buyers acting ahead of Sept iPhone announcements. Relative strength has turned positive and demand has not turned down.
8/15/16 Runup before iPhone announcement in Sept.
8/26/16 surprising pullback ahead of iPhone announcements. Key signal is that it was unable to establish a passing SID grade above the red line at a Demand peak. It certainly won't happen as Demand drops.
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http://www.meetup.com/MITTstocks/files/ .See our slide show "Hard Wired to Win" and "Stocks In Demand, SID, System". Also a slide show on Tom Lloyd's book "Successful Stock Signals" Wiley.
http://www.meetup.com/MITTstocks/messages/boards/forum/19262332 SEE OUR NEWSLETTERS! The SID Newsletter for investors and the Proactive Trader Newsletter for traders.
Disclaimer: We are not brokers or registered investment advisers. We do not recommend stocks or securities. Nothing on this website or in our meetings is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. You need to do your own due diligence and consult with a professional financial adviser before acting on any information provided on this website or at our meetings. Our meetings and website are for educational purposes only. Any content sent to you is sent out as any newspaper or newsletter, is for educational purposes and never should be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The use of terms buy, sell or hold are not recommendations to buy sell or hold any security. They are used here strictly for educational purposes. Analysts opinions can be wrong. Computer systems can be wrong. Chart buy and sell signals can be wrong. Therefore you must always do your own due diligence before buying or selling any stock discussed here. We assume no liability for erroneous data or opinions you hear at our meetings and see on this website or its emails. You use this website and our meetings at your own risk.
Disclosure- Tom Lloyd has a business relationship with his sponsors. He has access to the Demand/Supply System ($200/mo.), StockPickerUSA.com ($800/mo.) and ChaikinAnalytics.com ($195/mo). He trains users of these services. At any given time the organizers may be long or short any stock appearing here, in emails or newsletters sent to members.
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