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Statistical Learning and Applied Modeling in Education: Examples and Concerns

In this talk, I describe the development and deployment of the DPI Dropout Early Warning System predictive model for student risk of dropout. This example serves as a backdrop to explore the issues and approaches of applied predictive modeling, their differences from inferential modeling, and the tradeoffs inherent in deploying a predictive model within a large organization. Time will be taken to also discuss the major R components of the project and the features specific to R that enabled the project to move forward.

Jared Knowles currently serves as a research analyst with the Wisconsin Department of Public Instruction. There he has led the design and deployment of the Wisconsin Dropout Early Warning System (DEWS) and has worked on numerous policy analyses for the department. He focuses on ways to display these results in ways that are interpretable and actionable by decision makers. He is currently completing his PhD in political science at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He is also a fellow in the Interdisciplinary Training Program in Education Sciences, an IES pre-doctoral training program in the Wisconsin Center for Education Research

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  • A former member
    A former member

    You can find the slides here:

    You can find other presentations I have given on this topic:

    Hope this helps. Let me know if I can help more.

    July 12, 2015

  • A former member
    A former member

    Hi Jared, I wanted to share this talk - do you still have a copy of it?


    July 10, 2015

  • A former member
    A former member

    To find out more information you can check out my personal homepage: Also on GitHub I have an R package that is used to do some of the calculations in the EWS:

    June 16, 2014

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