Climate Change and Futures Epistemologies

If climate change is one of the biggest tests of our capacity to exercise foresight, then what is or should be the role of foresight practitioners in developing and exercising such foresight?

Are climate modellers and scientists the twenty-first century oracles or are they 'over-reaching' and going beyond the role of science?

If they are the new oracles then where does that leave futurists - out of a job?

To start a conversation on this topic, this evening we'll discuss climate research and climate action trends. Stephen McGrail - whose latest paper in the Journal of Futures Studies provides an initial foray into considering such questions - will host what should be a provocative conversation about some important questions.

His paper "Climate Change and Futures Epistemologies" is uploaded here as material you might like to read ahead of the session (kind of pre-reading).

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  • Stephen McGrail

    I just saw a related blog post by Professor Roger Pielke Jr (a Professor of Environmental Studies, Colorado University) titled "Climate Predictions as Double-Edged Sword". It's worth a read as a follow-on from our discussion

    See: http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.c...

    April 10

    • Stephen McGrail

      The post is "focused on the reliance on predictions as the basis for demands for action, and the double-edged nature that predictions have"

      April 10

    • Melanie

      Wow. Very apt follow on. Reminds me of Donella Meadows and likening her experience to Cassandra

      April 10

  • Karen Marie Arvidsson

    Thanks everyone for such a broad-ranging, yet deep discussion the other night & links/docs. I'm still finding myself pondering so many aspects of what we talked about... which is a good thing!

    April 8

  • Adam Jorlen

    Great session last night. Thanks very much for hosting, Stephen.

    1 · April 5

  • Stuart McGill

    Hi Stephen
    Could you put yr mobile up by reply pls.. for those of us who don't know the campus. And which room no. will you be in pls?
    Also, any hints on best place to park?
    Thanks
    Stuart
    PS Anyone else who knows the answers to above before Stephen sees it, pls put up what you know?? Thx

    April 4

  • Neil Houghton

    Here is my map of Stephen's paper ...
    http://files.meetup.com/4233542...

    2 · April 3

  • Neil Houghton

    This is interesting ... climate change memes ... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=...
    ... wonder what landscapes our discussions will traverse ...

    March 31

    • Stephen McGrail

      Hmmm... the underlying premise is dubious: "People
 have 
no 
direct 
experience 
with
 climate
 change. 

It 
is 
not
 an 
object they
 can 
touch 
to
 confirm 
that
 it 
is 
real. 

And
 so 
it
 only 
lives 
in 
the 
minds 
of
 people". In integral terms they don't recognise the RH quadrants.

      March 31

    • Neil Houghton

      ... our landscapes are opening up to include topological complexity ... what are the memes capable of traversing such complexity ...

      March 31

  • Neil Houghton

    Here is the climate meme report ... http://files.meetup.com/4233542...

    March 31

  • Justin V Di Giulio

    Hi, I've just joined. I have a strong interest in this area, and intend to come along. I look forward to meeting you. regards Justin

    March 14

  • Stuart McGill

    Cisco’s Chief Futurist Shares Top 5 Predictions for 2013 and Beyond. Interesting.
    http://blogs.cisco.com/news/cis...

    March 8

  • Stephen McGrail

    Ideas for themes? Perhaps we could discuss the problem of climate change, and how futures studies/foresight is (and could) contribute to better responses to this problem? My paper in the March 2013 issue could be the "provocation" to get the discussion going. I'd love to hear everyone's thoughts on this...

    Last night's session also re-sparked my interest in how futures methods and studies is being being rethought and reinvented for the twenty-first century. Perhaps we could have dialogue around these trends and the group's own ideas?

    1 · March 7

    • Stephen McGrail

      Sorry should read "March 2013 issue of Journal of Futures Studies"... Thanks for your input Stuart

      March 7

  • Stuart McGill

    Would love Foresight to do a climate change discussion.

    1 · March 7

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