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Skeptic's Toolbox: Using Probabilistically Challenged Minds to Cope with Unc...


****Please note that your RSVP to this even will not guarantee you a place at the event. Please go to the link provided below to register.****

The Skeptic's Toolbox has been held since 1989 and is one of the premier events in the nation – right in our backyard.

Information about this year's event: 

We live in an inherently probabilistic world. From quantum mechanics to medical diagnoses to everyday life, we have to cope with uncertainty.

Unfortunately, psychologists have demonstrated that the human brain, an otherwise fantastic instrument for enabling us to adapt, is severely handicapped when it comes to working with probability.

This handicap is demonstrated by a multitude of problems and puzzles that consistently tease us into wrong answers. This handicap causes us to make bad choices in more serious realms of behavior.

These include decisions and actions involving medical, financial, vocational, and other important matters. This year’s Toolbox will deal with medical decisions, the cognitive limitations in dealing with chance, the use and misuse of significance tests in deciding which treatments, methods and actions work and do not work, and the role of the media in disseminating false information about nutrition.

About the Skeptic’s Toolbox

A creation of Ray Hyman, the Skeptic’s Toolbox began in 1989 with a workshop in Buffalo, New York, titled “Skeptical Inquiry: The Role of the Skeptic.” In subsequent years the workshop became anchored at the University of Oregon in Eugene, where Hyman taught psychology. Each summer, people from all over the country gather in Eugene for an intense weekend of skeptical investigation.

Unlike many of the conferences held by CSI, the Skeptic’s Toolbox is a much more intimate and informal affair during which participants get an opportunity to put the tools of science and skepticism directly to work on many paranormal or pseudoscientific claims and ideas. Along with fascinating case studies and experiences presented by a wonderfully engaging faculty, attendees break up into small groups and tackle a case study of their own under the guidance of a faculty member.

We hope to provide more information on Ray Hyman’s vision of the Skeptic’s Toolbox, as well as the fabulous experiences he has had over the years, on our website. We also hope to continue working on the archives area of the site to provide a sense of the great breadth and depth covered during the past two decades. Please keep an eye on these areas in the future.

Details and Registration at: http://www.skepticstoolbox.org

Cost: $ 199 per person. 

For hotel information, please see event link.

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  • Jill

    Should be fascinating.

    July 31, 2013

3 went

  • SylviaB
    Organizer,
    Event Host
  • A former member
  • A former member

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