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The Future of Employment and Crime

  • Feb 18, 2012 · 3:00 PM
  • Stone Creek Bar

Welcome to the first event of 2012

Over the last decade we've seen sweeping changes in the way people work. We'd like to explore some of the upcoming trends we're likely to see as technology continues to shape our economies for the next couple of decades.

How is automation changing labor, or crime? How will a greying population alter the types and availability of jobs? Will telecommuting finally have its day in the sun? Will other forms of economies emerge, such as reputation economies? Do you foresee technology aiding or exacerbating income inequality? Will the idea of "post scarcity" play a role?
We're looking for speakers! We'll be running our familiar format of "Little Bigs" - 5 minutes, 5 slides. We have lots of slots for presenters, so if you'd like to share some knowledge, then contact us and tell us your topic.
Suggested topics include:

  • How technology will affect employment?
  • How will automation affect job availability?
  • Will we see substitution effects with the emergence of increasingly intelligent machines?
  • What sorts of jobs are "safe" (for a while)
  • Will other forms of economy emerge, and how will jobs change if they do? (whuffies, post scarcity, open source)
  • Can we invest in technology to reduce income inequality?
  • Will we be switching professional fields even more rapidly in the future?

Recently there have been some great discussions about employment on the interwebs. I highly, reccommend the following links: "The Local-global Flip" - Jaron Lanier - (seriously, read or watch this) http://edge.org/conversation/the-local-global-flip Share of Income Gains by Quintile http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2011/09/04/opinion/04reich-graphic.html?ref=sunday Discussion on Hacker News: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2979405 The economics implications of intelligent machines http://econfuture.wordpress.com/2009/10/26/the-economic-implications-of-intelligent-machines/ http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/10/take-both-econ-tech-seriously.html http://econfuture.wordpress.com/2009/10/29/why-i-think-robin-hanson-is-wrong-about-%E2%80%9Ceconomic-growth-given-machine-intelligence%E2%80%9D/

LITTLE BIGS SCHEDULE (running order is TBD)

1. Stuart: Post-Scarcity Prosperity: Envisioning Singularitarian Socioeconomics

2. Mike T. : 10 Things We Could Do to Maximize Employment... But Probably Won't

3. Joe P.: Sorting employment trends: short-term vs. long term impact

4. Dave P.: From Big Daddy to Big Data - Changing approaches to social change

5. Adam: Immigrants and Jobs (title TBD)

6. Olga: Crime without Punishment

7. Shane: Hick-Hacked Enzymes Crimes Rhymes (working title) 

8. Paul: Technological Singularity: A fine time for crime

Join or login to comment.

  • A former member
    A former member

    Wonderfully stimulating conversation with wonderful people!

    February 20, 2012

  • David O.

    The crime aspect was not fully explored. There was a good interaction after the presentations.

    February 19, 2012

  • Stuart Mason D.

    I disagree, Joe. If we're going to combine the two topics, then as Futurists we should be looking at as broad a casual and correlative matrix as possible. If violent interpersonal crime rises as a result of unemployment, and as corporations continue to hire workers for no pay and illegally classify them as interns, thereby addressing the need to work but exacerbating hunger and poverty, all factors must be in play. I also look forward to debating with you again in person!

    January 10, 2012

  • Joe P.

    Stuart, you're making my point. Crime seems like a sub-topic relative to (un)employment. Im looking forward to your insightful presentation on this topic!

    January 10, 2012

  • Stuart Mason D.

    Joe - I think that's missing a key factor in the known relationship between extended unemployment/poverty and an increased rate of violent crimes, not all of which are monetary in nature. Relatedly, there is a psychoemotional component of work that is independent of receiving a paycheck.

    January 10, 2012

  • Joe P.

    How about "Future of Work" as slightly broader description? I think criminal work can be someone's presentation -- but "crime" ain't as interesting as an overall topic. Whatcha think?

    January 10, 2012

  • Ella

    Then, we'll do both. Anyone who is thinking of doing a little big (5 min presentation with 5 slides) on either or both send the organizers an email (click on Contact Us)

    January 10, 2012

  • Stuart Mason D.

    Yay! Two observations: (1) Given current socioeconomic and ethical trends, the Future of Employment IS the Future of Crime...i.e., same topic. (2) If we're still to decide, why don't you create a poll where we can vote? That would avoid the endless email discussions of non-poll opining.

    January 10, 2012

  • Laura H.

    Hi Ella,

    I vote for the Future of Unemployment.

    January 10, 2012

  • Ella

    I miss all of your friendly faces! :)

    January 10, 2012

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