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Evolution of the Dance Card: The Analytics of NCAA Tournament Selections

  • Jun 24, 2014 · 5:30 PM

B. Jay Coleman, Ph.D. is the Richard deR. Kip Professor of Operations Management and Quantitative Methods in the Coggin College of Business, whose faculty he joined in Fall 1988. Jay earned his Ph.D. in Industrial Management from Clemson University. His research, primarily focused on predictive and prescriptive analytics, has resulted in more than 50 scholarly publications, and has been featured by the Wall Street Journal, BusinessWeek, Forbes, USA Today, the New York Times, CNN, TIME, Sports Illustrated, and ESPN: The Magazine, among others. Jay currently serves as Interim Associate Provost for Academic Programs at UNF, a position he has held since July 2013. He is also a past department chair and a past associate dean in the Coggin College.

Evolution of the Dance Card: The Analytics of NCAA Tournament Selection Committee Decisions

The NCAA Men's Basketball Committee selects the at-large teams for each season's post-season championship tournament. These decisions as well as their data drivers are the subject of great anticipation and debate each year among teams, fans, and media. Using predictive analytics, Dr. Coleman and his co-authors have successfully modelled the committee’s at-large bid process over the last 15 years. His talk will trace the evolution of the model, dubbed the “Dance Card,” from its original version to its current form. Over the last three seasons, the Dance Card has accurately predicted 108 out of 110 at-large teams.

Tentative Schedule:

5:30-6:15 Networking, Pizza, and Beer

6:15-6:30 Introductions

6:30-7:30 Evolution of the Dance Card: The Analytics of NCAA Tournament Selection Committee Decisions

7:30-8:00 Closing Remarks and Questions

Please call Katie if you have any issues getting to Ignite at [masked]-1005.

As usual, it'll be a laid back and fun learning environment, with free pizza and beer!

Join or login to comment.

  • A former member
    A former member

    I found the explanation of the methods used to be engaging and I appreciated the transparency and candor.

    2 · June 25, 2014

  • Jack C.

    Jay, thanks for sharing your experience in the wild world of sports! :)

    3 · June 24, 2014

  • Frederick

    Nice meeting.Great content presented well.

    June 24, 2014

  • Jack C.

    Looking forward to this!

    Attend for the chance to win tickets to courtesy of your friends at InfoTech.

    2 · June 23, 2014

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