Re: [newtech-1] iPhone funeral - W T F ?

From: Laird P.
Sent on: Monday, September 13, 2010 11:17 AM
Re: [newtech-1] iPhone funeral - W T F ? There’s no reason theoretically that MS couldn’t produce the world’s best mobile OS – they clearly have the money, technical skills, etc. The challenge, IMO, is that MS is very deeply wired towards making desktop software, in ways that cause them to make bad decisions whenever they get too far from that environment.

For example, in desktop software, their winning strategy is to implement more features than their competition, so that they get more checkboxes in reviews than their competition. And by continually adding new features they maintain their lead over their competition. This means that, to MS, new features are more important than other factors, such as ease of use, security, stability or efficiency. That is not to say that they don’t care about those things, of course, just that what they really care about is giving users amazing new functionality. This is how they end up with things such as ActiveX (functionality at the cost of security and stability), or WinCE (complex functionality at the cost of efficiency and usability), or Office (functionality at the cost of usability and efficiency). This strategy works on the desktop (people buy faster computers rather than more efficient software).

As another example, their business strategy is to leverage their core strengths (the win32 API and Windows branding/UI) into new markets. As a business strategy this sounds pretty good, but when they get away from the desktop it causes them to produce products that do not fit the market well. For example, MS spend $billions to buy their way into the cable set top box market, in order to extend Win32 to the TV set, but never produced a usable product, losing to platforms designed from the ground up for set top boxes. As another example, for mobile phones in 2005, WinCE was not a very good mobile device OS, because it is far too complex and resource intensive, while PalmOS was a much better fit for mobile hardware of that era. In the mobile space, the devices have become more powerful, and MS improved their OS (e.g. It looks nothing like WinCE, and is more stable), to the point where it looks like they might be able to recover.

Contrast this with Microsoft’s relative success with the Xbox, which is essentially a desktop PC in a sealed box. That was fairly close to their comfort zone, and they are doing well.

- LP


On 9/13/10 10:47 AM, "Glen da Silva" <[address removed]> wrote:

http://www.asymco.com/2010/08/05/why-apples-cash-is-worth-more-than-microsofts-cash/
 
Dean – I am still calculating whether MS could give everyone is the US a smartphone – just waiting on latest Census numbers and iSuppli teardown results ;)
 
http://www.isuppli.com/Mobile-and-Wireless-Communications/Pages/Headlines.aspx
 
 

Glen DaSilva
DaSilva Digital Productions
[address removed]  
[masked]


From: [address removed] [mailto:[address removed]] On Behalf Of Dean Collins
Sent: Sunday, September 12,[masked]:02 PM
To: [address removed]
Subject: RE: [newtech-1] iPhone funeral - W T F ?


Lol you people crack me up. You forget that the iPhone has only been around for a short while and nothing lasts forever. Before iPhone there was Motorola startac etc.
Microsoft have enough cash to give everyone in the USA a free winmo7 handset, they’re not going anywhere.


Cheers,
Dean

 


From: [address removed] [mailto:[address removed]] On Behalf Of Damion Hankejh
Sent: Sunday, 12 September[masked]:56 PM
To: [address removed]
Subject: Re: [newtech-1] iPhone funeral - W T F ?

The decade timeline is altogether irrelevant -- smartphone mobile hasn't mattered for more than 3.5 years (iPhone circa 2007).  The market is around ~200MM devices today, and is projected to grow to ~[masked]MM devices over 3-5 years.

Microsoft has no chance at a nice slice of that market?  Perhaps if their new interface doesn't allure consumers, which is possible, but it looks pretty damn slick -- and it's the first intriguing UI that hasn't simply cloned iPhone (don't worry Android, I still love you a little).  Further, all manufacturer's are rapidly closing the build-quality gap -- Apple's design quality matters less by the quarter.  If it still mattered, Android's market share would not have grown from 1.8% to 17.2% in one year (while Apple's barely grew from 13% to 14.2%).

Speaking of delusion -- Netscape, Novell, IBM, et al. thought they had a defensible position in their markets.  Then boom -- game over.  The common counter argument is that times have changed and Redmond's control via Windows and Office have eroded, but that's a load of crapple.  Office on a phone is seriously compelling -- it will devour what remains of RIM in corporate environs.  Microsoft has at least two years to catch up and they might have found their footing -- this has happened before, and it's historically a fool's bet predicting it can't happen again.
---
Damion Hankejh | hankejh.com <http://hankejh.com/>


On Sun, Sep 12, 2010 at 5:06 PM, Michael Mellinger <[address removed]> wrote:

Microsoft has been doing mobile for a decade.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windows_Mobile

 

Maybe this time they'll get it right.  At any rate, it won't matter because they are now irrelevant in mobile.

Sent from my iPad


On Sep 12, 2010, at 3:21 PM, soulsonic <[address removed]> wrote:


http://www.neowin.net/news/microsoft-workers-celebrated-windows-phone-7-rtm-with-iphone-hearses

 

still can't believe this happened.. pure delusion




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