The Triangle Indie Film Meetup Group Message Board › 2nd Annual "Pick the Oscars" contest

2nd Annual "Pick the Oscars" contest

Chapel Hill, NC
Post #: 88
The Academy Awards ceremony is coming up Feb. 25, so let's have another friendly pool competition to predict the outcomes, namely who will win which awards. Like last year, the aim of our competition is not to say who you think should win or who you want to win, but rather who you think will win, i.e., who the majority of the Academy members will vote for. Feel free to be as cynical as you like in your choices. Let's have some fun...

Contest Rules
The contest is based on twelve major award categories, with one point awarded for each correct guess and two points awarded for correctly guessing the winner of the "Best motion picture of the year" category. So the highest score you can get is 13. Read through the nominees in each category below, then click Add a Reply to post your guesses in each category. Please keep your replies simple, and no hedging - one guess per category. You can use shorthand and list your guesses by number (1-12) with the title or last name for each guess.

We will tally the results and announce the winner(s) Feb. 26.

Below are the categories and nominees for each:

  • Performance by an actress in a supporting role

    • Adriana Barraza in Babel
    • Cate Blanchett in Notes on a Scandal
    • Abigail Breslin in Little Miss Sunshine
    • Jennifer Hudson in Dreamgirls
    • Rinko Kikuchi in Babel

  • Performance by an actor in a supporting role

    • Alan Arkin in Little Miss Sunshine
    • Jackie Earle Haley in Little Children
    • Djimon Hounsou in Blood Diamond
    • Eddie Murphy in Dreamgirls
    • Mark Wahlberg in The Departed

  • Performance by an actress in a leading role

    • Penélope Cruz in Volver
    • Judi Dench in Notes on a Scandal
    • Helen Mirren in The Queen
    • Meryl Streep in The Devil Wears Prada
    • Kate Winslet in Little Children

  • Performance by an actor in a leading role

    • Leonardo DiCaprio in Blood Diamond
    • Ryan Gosling in Half Nelson
    • Peter O'Toole in Venus
    • Will Smith in The Pursuit of Happyness
    • Forest Whitaker in The Last King of Scotland

  • Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score)

    • Babel
      Gustavo Santaolalla
    • The Good German
      Thomas Newman
    • Notes on a Scandal
      Philip Glass
    • Pan's Labyrinth
      Javier Navarrete
    • The Queen
      Alexandre Desplat

  • Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song)

    • "I Need to Wake Up," from An Inconvenient Truth
      Music and Lyric by Melissa Etheridge
    • "Listen," from Dreamgirls
      Music by Henry Krieger and Scott Cutler
      Lyric by Anne Preven
    • "Love You I Do," from Dreamgirls
      Music by Henry Krieger
      Lyric by Siedah Garrett
    • "Our Town," from Cars
      Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
    • "Patience," from Dreamgirls
      Music by Henry Krieger
      Lyric by Willie Reale

  • Best documentary feature

    • Deliver Us from Evil
      A Disarming Films Production
      Amy Berg and Frank Donner
    • An Inconvenient Truth
      A Lawrence Bender/Laurie David Production
      Davis Guggenheim
    • Iraq in Fragments
      A Typecast Pictures/Daylight Factory Production
      James Longley and John Sinno
    • Jesus Camp
      A Loki Films Production
      Heidi Ewing and Rachel Grady
    • My Country, My Country
      A Praxis Films Production
      Laura Poitras and Jocelyn Glatzer

  • Best foreign language film of the year

    • After the Wedding - Denmark
    • Days of Glory (Indigènes) - Algeria
    • The Lives of Others - Germany
    • Pan's Labyrinth - Mexico
    • Water - Canada

  • Adapted screenplay

    • Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
      Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Peter Baynham & Dan Mazer
      Story by Sacha Baron Cohen & Peter Baynham & Anthony Hines & Todd Phillips
    • Children of Men
      Screenplay by Alfonso Cuarón & Timothy J. Sexton and David Arata and Mark Fergus & Hawk Ostby
    • The Departed
      Screenplay by William Monahan
    • Little Children
      Screenplay by Todd Field & Tom Perrotta
    • Notes on a Scandal
      Screenplay by Patrick Marber

  • Original screenplay

    • Babel
      Written by Guillermo Arriaga
    • Letters from Iwo Jima
      Screenplay by Iris Yamashita
      Story by Iris Yamashita & Paul Haggis
    • Little Miss Sunshine
      Written by Michael Arndt
    • Pan's Labyrinth
      Written by Guillermo del Toro
    • The Queen
      Written by Peter Morgan

  • Achievement in directing

    • Babel
      Alejandro González Iñárritu
    • The Departed
      Martin Scorsese
    • Letters from Iwo Jima
      Clint Eastwood
    • The Queen
      Stephen Frears
    • United 93
      Paul Greengrass

  • Best motion picture of the year

    • Babel
    • The Departed
    • Letters from Iwo Jima
    • Little Miss Sunshine
    • The Queen

A former member
Post #: 2
1. Hudson

2. Murphy

3. Mirren

4. Smith

5. The Queen

6. "Love You I Do"

7. An Inconvenient Truth

8. Pan's Labyrinth

9. The Departed

10. The Queen

11. Scorsese

12. The Departed
user 2269270
Durham, NC
Post #: 8
Here are my completely random choices:

1. Jennifer Hudson
2. Eddie Murphy
3. Helen Mirren
4. Forest Whitaker
5. Gustavo Santaolalla
6. "Listen," from Dreamgirls
7. An Inconvenient Truth
8. Pan's Labyrinth - Mexico (though I'd like water to win)
9. The Departed- Screenplay by William Monah
10. Babel- Written by Guillermo Arriaga
11.The Departed- Martin Scorsese
12. The Queen
Chapel Hill, NC
Post #: 97
Thanks for entries so far. Jen and Sreedevi, I would say you both have a very keen sense of where the awards may be heading, so my guesses may not be far off from yours. Here goes...

  • Hudson
  • Hounsou
  • Mirren
  • Whitaker
  • The Queen
  • "I Need to Wake Up"
  • An Inconvenient Truth
  • Pan's Labyrinth
    BTW, I'd prefer Water too, especially considering the circumstances involved in filming it.
  • The Departed
  • Babel
  • The Departed
  • Little Miss Sunshine
    Going with another dark horse winner, like Crash last year, because I don't think Academy voters are completely sold on Babel as Best Picture, Eastwood has won twice before, Scorsese will get his recognition in the director category, and The Queen will get the Best Actress award

BTW, after you guess who will win these awards, have a turn at casting your very important vote for who should win. I've boiled things down to two polls:

Vote your conscience
Chapel Hill, NC
Post #: 101
A related heads-up: Our friends at Galaxy Cinema are holding a high-stakes version of our contest. Submit your picks and you could win a $20 Galaxy Gift Certificate. Play here:
A former member
Post #: 4
1. Adriana Barraza
2. Eddie Murphy
3. Helen Mirren
4. Peter O'Toole
5. The Queen
6. "I Need to Wake Up" - Melissa Etheridge
7. An Inconvenient Truth
8. El Laberinto del Fauno
9. Notes on a Scandal
10. Little Miss Sunshine
11. Martin Scorcese
12. Little Miss Sunshine
Chapel Hill, NC
Post #: 103
Ok, here are the correct answers from last night:

  • Hudson
  • Arkin
  • Mirren
  • Whitaker
  • Santaolalla
  • Etheridge
  • An Inconvenient Truth
  • The Lives of Others
  • The Departed
  • Little Miss Sunshine
  • Scorsese
  • The Departed

Jen scored a 7
Sreedevi scored a 7
I scored a 7
Allison scored a 5

Lots of surprises and yet no clear frontrunners in most of the categories (outside of the lead actors), so it's not surprising none of us scored very well. Interesting choices by the Academy, and they finally gave Marty the gold. I was happy with the music award winners -- Gustavo Santoalalla has won best score in consecutive years -- and that An Inconvenient Truth won for best doc.

Disappointing to see so many worthy nominees go completely or mostly unrecognized:
Children of Men
Half Nelson
Little Children
Notes on a Scandal
United 93

Oh well...

Thanks to everyone who participated!
A former member
Post #: 5
That was a lot of fun! laughing Thank you, Brian.

Durham, NC
Post #: 67
Wait ... Melissa Etheridge --the "No Souvenirs" girl -- got an OSCAR?? =:0 I would've liked to see that.... (I saw her live in a small theater in the early 90s. About the best concert I've ever seen. She and her bassist/collaborator were phenom.)

In the wake of the Oscars, I thought y'all'd enjoy this unfiltered gem from The Guardian Unlimited, "You're a star until the moment you're not." It features some recollections of "the road to the Oscar" by indie and foreign comers like Emily Watson (BREAKING THE WAVES), Richard Linklater (BEFORE SUNRISE), Alison Owen (ELIZABETH). Good reading.­
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