Past Meetup

Estimating vs. Guessing - How Agile Teams Estimate Their Work

This Meetup is past

50 people went


Estimating is regarded as little little more than 'educated guessing', but so much can hang on the quality of those estimates. With good estimates we can set clear expectations for project delivery, but with bad estimates we can run over schedule and over budget, or worse. We often estimate when we know the least about the work that needs to get done - so how can we make the best of what is potentially a bad situation?

In this session we will look at how successful agile teams estimate the scope of work at the beginning of a project, estimate the amount of work that fits into any one iteration, track the work through the iteration, and the 'burn down' through the end of the project. We will look at 'low ceremony' estimation techniques like planning poker, trim down 'high ceremony' techniques like Wideband Delphi, and look at "FET+", an estimation technique originally developed as a foil for a CMMi effort.

With a little effort, a little planning, a little tracking, open communication, and some good metrics, estimation does not have to be a 'crystal ball' activity.