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New York's Shale Gas Potential (How does it compare to Pennsylvania)

This is like fraconomics for New York State. A team consisting of a geologist, a systems analyst, and two retired oil and gas execs reviewed data from 2700 Pennsylvania gas wells. The analysis shows that the highest yields are where shale is deepest and thickest. But the Marcellus shale gets thinner and shallower rapidly as it crosses the border into New York, leading to predictions of significantly less production and debunking the industry’s claims of wealth creation. If the wells don’t produce, there’ll be no tax revenues and no royalty checks for drillionaire wannabes.

So does that mean we can all relax and forget about fracking ever happening here? Hardly. While this is better news than if the results had predicted rich, gushing gas wells, this opens up a host of worrisome scenarios. Come to find out more, ask questions and explore the geology of New York State.

Moderated by Professor Anthony Ingraffea. Presentations by geologist Brian Brock, systems analyst Jerry Acton, oil and gas experts Chip Northrup and Lou Allstadt. New York Society for Ethical Culture, 2 West 64th Street, 6:30–9 pm, Doors open 6:00 pm, Suggested Donation $5-10.

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  • Kevin G. O.

    This event stuck a note that resonated with the attendees I talked to in my informal exit poll. It really helps to have oil industry insiders explaining business decisions alongside geologists explaining about the shale resource itself.

    January 21, 2014

  • Philip H. K.

    Wonderful event. Having two oil industry executives on the anti-fracking panel really confirmed to me that the critical positions of Deborah Rogers and Richard Heinberg are essentially correct.

    1 · January 20, 2014

  • Jane K.

    Thanks for organizing an informative, but very sobering, meeting. The takeaway for me was that there is an enormous and immediate amount of work to be done to protect New Yorkers even if NYS's shale gas potential falls short of projections or fracking is banned. For example, upstate brooks, pastures, fields, woodlands and front yards are getting brine run-off from road work and toxic chemicals and heavy metals are already going into the soil, water and food chain. Is NYC's future to be the final link in the gas transport corridor for offshore export with all the inherent risks and costs that would bring? Would there be any merit in having an Alliance debrief of the meeting to see if there are specific tasks the member groups might accomplish together, e.g passing legislation like Texas has around the use and disposal frack waste?

    1 · January 19, 2014

    • A former member
      A former member

      great thinking, Jane, please add that suggestion as an agenda item on the Jan 29th meetup event--we have a lot to discuss that night but a debrief and move to ban brine would be terrific to fit in!

      1 · January 19, 2014

  • Sharon G.

    Great Event! Good to see old and new folks!

    1 · January 18, 2014

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