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Seminar: Nonresponse Modeling in Repeated Independent Surveys in Closed Stable…


Title: Nonresponse Modeling in Repeated Independent Surveys in a Closed Stable Population—Did the Local Election Officials (LEOs) Roar in 2012?

• Speakers: Tim Markham and Eric Falk, Defense Manpower Data Center, and Fritz Scheuren, NORC
• Chair: TBA
• Date/Time: Wednesday, July 17, 12:30 p.m. to 2:00 p.m.
• Sponsor: Washington Statistical Society Methodology Section
• Location: New Offices of Mathematica-MPR, 1101 First Street NE, 12th Floor, Washington DC 20002, near L Street, north of Union Station
• Directions and Remote Viewing: To be placed on the attendance list for webinar and phone viewing, please RSVP to Alyssa Maccarone at 
[masked] or (202)[masked] at least 1 day in advance of the seminar (in-person attendees do not need to RSVP). Provide your name, affiliation, contact information (email is preferred) and the seminar date. Once on the list, you will be provided with information about webinar and phone viewing. For those who choose to attend in person, Mathematica is located at[masked]st Street, NE, 12th Floor, Washington, DC 20002. If traveling by Metro, take the Red Line to either the New York Ave Station or Union Station. From the New York Ave Station, follow signs to exit at M Street out of the station and walk 1 block west on M street and 2 blocks south on 1st Street (the building will be on your right). From Union Station, walk north along 1st Street for about 4-5 blocks until you reach L Street (the building will be on your left after crossing L street). If traveling by car, pay parking is available in the building parking garage, which is located 1 block east of North Capitol on L Street NE. Once in the building, take the elevators to the 12th floor and inform the secretary that you are attending the WSS seminar. Please call Mathematica's main office number [masked]) if you have trouble finding the building. 

In the past, models of survey unit nonresponse typically were implicit (for example, Oh and Scheuren 1983).  If nonresponse was sizable, then adjustments were made.  These generally employed some form of a missing-at-random model (for example, Rubin 1983).  One such model (Zhang and Scheuren 2011), explicit this time, is discussed in our presentation.   
This presentation is a follow-up to one given in June 2012 and the application is to large repeated independent cross-section samples from a closed population.  The units are voting jurisdictions, which are required to report on the details of each national election within a reasonable period afterwards.  The survey was conducted in 2008, 2010, and 2012 and was initially administered to the local election official to gather individual jurisdictional information.  The response rate for these initial surveys was relatively low.  For the 2012 survey the state election officials in many states were used to gather information at the jurisdiction level.  This led to higher response rates in 2012 but still the non-ignorable nonresponse must be addressed.  This talk discusses how this problem might be handled statistically going forward and currently at the evaluation stage.

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  • Michael P. C.

    Great seminar on important topic.

    July 17, 2013

  • Phil K.

    I had not been aware of the Sekar-Deming capture-recapture model so I really learned a lot at this presentation.

    July 17, 2013

15 went

  • Dan L.
    WSS Program Chair for Methodology, Co-Organizer,
    Event Host
  • Phil K.
    Statistician/data scientist, and software developer/manager, Co-Organizer
  • Michael P. C.
    WSS Program Chair for Human Rights Statistics, Co-Organizer

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