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★ I. WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2013 MEETUP AGENDA II. All Listing Calendar of Events: * NOV * DEC 2013 ~ JAN & FEB 2014. ★ III

From: Carol C.
Sent on: Tuesday, December 3, 2013 9:40 PM


★ ★ ★ NOTE:  FOR SAN DIEGO DFA MEMBERS: ★ ★ ★ Carol Changus is planning a DAVID ALVAREZ ~ GREET  & MEET YOUR NEXY MAYOR OF SAN DIEGO In December 2013. Details are coming.  If you are able to make it, Please come!
★ ★ ★ JOHN HARTLEY & TERRI PREVOST from Clean & Fair Elections Campaign, will be asking for your endorsements & each of you signatures on their petition.  Our SD DFA ENDORSEMENT, as well. :   For Clean & Fair Elections in the City of San Diego 2016  (Public Financing)

II. NEW MEMBERS: DAVE PEISER: I'm running for Congress as a Democrat in 2014 against Darrell Issa in the 49th Congressional District.  N. BOURLAS: Teacher. LAUREN: a clinical psychologist . BEN:  "I love Democracy! And I love America, and I love Obama."

III. San Diego PDA Metro President  MIKE THALLER Has a Few PDA Announcements.



VI. ROUND ROBIN: Each Member may speak 1 or 2 minutes on any subject or event notice, relating to Politics. Please keep your talk short, so that, all members who wish to have a chance to speak.






CAMPAIGN INFO PHONE:   (619)[masked] Contact the Campaign: (619)[masked]S
Here  are a few events listed on Campaign Calendar.

However, Please Call the office to ask about new events, especially events with DAVID ALVAREZ.


I. All Listing Calendar of Events: * * DEC * JAN * FEB etc.


★ ★ ★ ***** ★ ★ ★ DECEMBER 2013 ★ ★ ★ ***** ★ ★ ★


★ ★ ★  NOTE:  FOR SAN DIEGO DFA MEMBERS: ★ ★ ★ Carol Changus is planning a DAVID ALVAREZ ~ GREET  & MEET YOUR NEXY MAYOR OF SAN DIEGO In December 2013. Details are coming.  If you are able to make it, Please come!

*** WED DEC 4 at 6:00 PM - 8:00 PM San Diego Viewing "Chasing Ice" Fundraiser (Grassroots Fundraiser) Climate change is real, and the devastating effects its had on our environment are clear. The award winning documentary "Chasing Ice" follows a photographer into the Arctic as he witnesses first-hand the undeniable evidence of climate change. Join local supporters for a screening of the film, then learn how you can act to combat climate change in your community. Minimum donation is $15. All proceeds help OFA-California. Your contribution will help grow this grassroots movement, and will sustain our local organization.  Suggested Contribution Levels: $15 OFA Contributor $25 OFA Friend $50 OFA Champion  Time: Wednesday, December 4,[masked]:00 PM - 8:00 PM Host: Maryanne Lacey Where: University Community Library (San Diego, CA) 4155 Governor Drive San Diego, CA 92122








***WED DEC  4  at 7-8:45PM " San Diego DFA & San Diego PDA Metro MEETUP " • TERRI PREVOST • will be Showing the FILM that KOCH BROTHER WOULD NOT LET KPBS AIR!!! COME & SEE this New Documentary on KOCH Brothers! Email: [address removed] *Where: Giovanni's restaurant's SMALLER meeting room in main dining room, 9353 Clairemont Mesa Blvd., San Diego, CA 92123. (Corner of Clairemont Mesa Blvd. & Ruffin Rd. across from the Voters Registrar's Office)FREE EVENT! ALL ARE WELCOME! Website:



*** THURSDAY & FRIDAY DEC 5 & 6 " Tijuana / San Diego: Binational Conference on Border Issues " The U.S./Mexico border is an important reference point for populations living and interacting with one another on both sides of this international boundary. Impacts and perceptions of the border region are the subject of many contemporary research projects, forms of advocacy and activism. The Binational Conference is an effort to explore the impact of the border on populations living both in the U.S. and Mexico. It is to also designed to understand how Fronterizo populations perceive and respond to these impacts from various perspectives. This includes through academic research, art, activism, advocacy and life experiences. The theme of the 4th Conference is "Labor and Immigration Policies: Border perspectives"

WHERE: *ON Thursday December 5 San Diego City College, MS Building, Room MS 142, C Street # 1551, San Diego, CA, 92101 (C Street between 15th Street and 16th Street) Website: Email: [address removed]

WHERE: *ON Friday December 6  Instituto Municipal de Arte y Cultura de Tijuana,  (Tijuana Municipal Institute of Art and Culture, Old City Hall) 2nd Street and Constitution, Tijuana downtown, one block from Avenida Revolución. Website: Email: [address removed]

Keynote Speakers: ALOR CALDERON Aiso the director of the San Diego Employee Rights Center (ERC). EHC is the only non-profit program in the San Diego area that provides education and advocacy to all workers about their workplace rights and benefits. Alor Calderón will explore the relationship between the U.S. Immigration Reform and the Mexican Labor Reform. Learn more about the San Diego Employee Rights Center here: ERC. CIPRIANA JURADO is co-founder of Defenders of Human Rights at Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, and advocate for women and maquila workers rights. She will discuss femicides, the drug war, maquiladoras, and popular resistance in Juarez, Chihuahua, Mexico. Her paper will emphasize the difficult challenges that civil society confronts in Mexico, especially in the border areas. Her presentation is an important background to frame the meaning of the several reforms that the Mexican government has proposed in the last months. To learn more about Cipriana Jurado: The Guardian and a video in Spanish: Ciudad de México. DANIEL SOLORIO is Professor of Human Rights and Constitutional Law for the Autonomous University of Baja California, Mexicali. He was named "Person of the Year 2012" by the magazine Zeta of Tijuana. Prof. Solorio will discuss the Education Reform in Mexico exploring why the Mexican government reforms the education "at the expense" of teachers´ rights. Examples of Prof. Solorio´s academic production are available at the Observatorio Académico Universitario. RAúL RAMIREZ BAHENA is founder and coordinator of the Northwest Human Rights Citizen Committee (CCHR).  Mr. Ramirez Bahena is the former ombudsman and president of the Baja California Human Rights and Protecting Citizen Rights Office. Mr. Ramirez will explore the consequences that immigration policies in the U.S. and Mexico have on migrant workers and their families' human rights. More information about Raul Ramirez can be found here: Proceso. ROBERTO de la CRUZ JIMiéNEZ, a Zapotec-speaker who got his degree in Ethno-Linguistics and Sociology from the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) and CREFAL-UNESCO, is the head of the Middle School Education Department at the Oaxaca Institute of Technical Education. A social sciences middle school teacher from Juchitan, Oaxaca, De la Cruz has been an advisor to the Department of Indigenous Education in Mexico, and coordinator of the Ethno-Linguistic Zapotec Indigenous Education Working Group at the Oaxaca Department of Education. De La Cruz Jimenez has also been a host of the radio program Horizons for Oaxaca Radio Universidad (XEUBJ) as well as Vice President of Education of the National Education Workers Union, Local 22. De la Cruz Jiménez has published several articles about the Zapotec language and literacy education for Zapotec adults. A book of Zapotec short stories will be published soon. De la Cruz Jiménez will discuss how ethnic resistance is fundamental for the Oaxaca teacher movement against the so-called "Education Reform."

Sessions and panels: The Binational Conference will have 12 sessions where 43 speakers will present the following topics:  For an accurate representation of the U.S./Mexico border in the media The struggle for the preservation of the character and health of the historic community of Barrio Logan Crossing borders: paths, destinations, agents, and identity changes Education challenges and opportunities for migrant and transborder communities Diversity of binational border identities expressed through music and through bicycles Immigrant workers´ experiences from Guatemala to Iowa The struggle against the privatized immigrant prison complex in the United States Immigration policies, their violence, police force, and contradictions Lessons from history for building a binational border community Presentation of videos on daily labor workers in Arizona and the lives of deportees in the Tijuana canals Relationships between Tijuana maquiladoras, the Labor Reform in Mexico, and the environment Representing the border and the transborder experiences in culture, literature, and artistic production

Registration Registration the day of the conference $5 general, $20 faculty No one turned away for lack of funds

Sponsors American Federation of Teachers, Local 1931 San Diego City College President, Dr. Lynn Neault Centro de Posgrado y Estudios Sor Juana Instituto Municipal de Arte y Cultura de Tijuana, IMAC San Diego City College Chicana and Chicano Studies Department Organizing Committee  Participants in the Conference Organizing Committee belong to the following collectives and institutions: Centro de Posgrado y Estudios Sor Juana, Colectivo Ollin Calli, Comité Binacional de Derechos Humanos, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, Mesa College, San Diego City College, Baja California Section of the International Council of Sites and Monuments, Autonomous University of Baja California, San Diego State University, University of San Diego Website: Email: [address removed]



*** FRI DEC 6 at 5:30pm -8:00pm " Holiday Fiesta Fundraiser to Support SARAH BOOT For City Council " Please Join Us For A Holiday Fiesta Fundraiser to Support Sarah Boot For City Council, District 2. We will be serving tacos with an open bar!   Hosted by DANA GRIMES & LIZ CARTER Friday, December 6th 5:30 p.m. at the home of Dana Grimes 3950 Pringle St. San Diego, CA 92103   Suggested Contribution: $100 (Host) - $50 (Guest) RSVP online at Checks should be made payable to: Sarah Boot for City Council 2014 P.O. Box 7710 San Diego, CA 92167. Call Greg at[masked] with questions or email e[address removed] Where: 3950 Pringle St. San Diego, CA 92103



*** SAT DEC 7 !0:00AM the Democratic Club of Carlsbad-Oceanside is having its final meeting of 2013. Our Speaker is DIANA KUTLOW from the Joan B. Kroc Institute for Peace and Justice (IPJ), University of San Diego. Saturday, December 7th, 10 a.m., @ the Woman’s Club of Carlsbad-Oceanside. Guests most welcome.  Kind of an oxymoron to focus on issues of peace on a legendary War Day anniversary. Where: the Woman’s Club of Carlsbad-Oceanside, 3320 Monroe St., Carlsbad 92008 (across from the CHS Athletic Stadium).  Ample parking in the rear lot of Woman’s Club.  Guests most welcome.


*** SAT DEC 7at 10am - 2Ppm The San Diego Maquiladora Workers' Solidarity Network also has a Table at the Peace Holiday Bazaar on Sat. Dec. 7, from 10am-2pm.   Visit: for more details .   Groups involved: Peace Resource Center of San Diego, Project YANO, Karama, & San Diego Vets for Peace. Where: Peace Holiday Bazaar,  Mid- City Gym, 4302 Landis St., San Diego 92105 *( The Mid City Gym is located in an active community area, one block South of the popular City Height's Farmer's Market. The entrance is on 43rd ---one-way South)


*** TUES DEC 10 at 6:00PM - 8:00PM  ( Doors will open at 6:00, and the program will begin at 6:30 pm.) " Neighborhood Development -  What Can We Actually Do?" Panel Discussion  Join Voice of San Diego for the "Neighborhood Development - What Can We Actually Do?" panel discussion on Tuesday, December 10 at the old Snowflake Bakery in East Village.  The event, moderated by VOSD reporter ANDY KEATTS, will take a hard look at what the city can actually do policy-wise to spur "neighborhood development" and how those actions may impact the array of diverse local stakeholders. Expect nothing less than a night of community-centric wonkery.  Confirmed speakers include:  BILL FULTON, Planning, Neighborhoods & Economic Development  Director for the city of San Diego GEORGETTE GOMEZ, Environmental Health Coalition Associate Director  KENNETH MALBROUGH, Encanto Community Planning Group Chair LLOYD RUSSELL noted local architect Doors will open at 6:00, and the program will begin at 6:30 pm.  The event is free for all current VOSD members; a $10 donation is requested for all non-members via the online ticket registration, though tickets will be available at the door prior to the event.     We ask that you print off your ticket and provide it at the door to expedite entry.   Where: Snowflake Bakery Building,[masked]th St, San Diego, CA 92101





*** THUR DEC 12  from 5:30PM to 7:30PM Please join us to CELEBRATE Suoervisor DAVE ROBERTS' BIRTHDAY at his home in Solana Beach! " Dave sure hopes that you can make this fun event on December 12th at our home (the former home of singer Patti Page).  Please share the invitation with others too.  Suggested Minimum Contribution - $100.00Host Contribution Level -$250.00•     Sponsor Contribution Level $500.00•    Co-Chair Contribution Level $700.00•   Contributions payable to Re-elect Dave Roberts 2016.  Mail to P.O. Box 7955, San Diego 92167.  Online contributions: TO RSVP or for more INFO contact [masked] or [address removed]Happy Thanksgiving!  Dave Where: Home of Supervisor DAVE ROBERTS & WALLY OLIVER,  1412 San Lucas Court, Solana Beach, 92075.






*** SAT DEC 14 " COME HOME FOR THE HOLIDAYS " Yes, it's almost that time again - time to join your LGBT family to celebrate the end of the year with a lot of good cheer and good food. There will be arts & crafts for the kids, the Imperial Court's Coney Island senior experience, and plenty of food, family and friends. Organizations interested in joining the fun as community partners can contact Carolina Ramos at[masked] x116 or email: [address removed] FOR DETAILS!




*** MON JAN 16 at 12:30 p.m. (Eastern Time)  " Exclusive USGLC State Leadership Conference Call with General GENERAL ANTHONY ZINNI. USMC, Ret.)" As a member of USGLC’s state leaders network, please join me for a special discussion with General Anthony Zinni on the latest national security challenges facing the U.S. and how our military and civilian officials are working together to address some of the hotspots around the world.   Monday, December 16,[masked]:30 p.m. (Eastern Time) General Anthony Zinni, USMC (Ret.) Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Central Command [masked]) Please RSVP no later than Friday, December 13. Call-in information will be provided upon registration.  If you have any questions, please contact Emily Jennings at [address removed] or[masked]. RSVP online:


*** WED DEC 14 at 5:00 -7:00PM This is a MUST attend Event this Holiday Season!! You were invited by ★KEVIN BEISER with ★ BILL & MICHELLE LERACH ★ in Support Kevin Beiser's Re-Election to the SD School Board! December 14th at 5:00pm RSVP email to [address removed] Join Bill and Michelle Lerach to support Kevin Beiser's Re-Election to the San Diego Unified School Board Saturday, December 14 at 5:00pm Where: 9776 La Jolla Farms Road, La Jolla, CA 92037  Join Bill and Michelle Lerach to support Kevin Beiser for his re-election to the school board. RSVP with an email to [address removed] Contribute what you can $50, $100 or $250 (maximum $750 per person) ~ complementary valet parking ~  Host Committee: Congressman Scott Peters ~ Mayor Todd Gloria ~ Andy Berg ~ Laurie Black ~ Barbara Bry & Neil Senturia ~ Gil Cabrera ~ Candace Carroll & Len Simon ~ Molly Chase ~ Nancy Chase ~ Ben Dillingham III ~ Robert Gleason ~ Susan Guinn & Denice Feldhaus ~ Suzanne & Lawrence Hess ~ Gene Iredale ~ Joan & Dr. Irwin Jacobs ~ Mel & Linda Katz ~ Marcy & Jeffrey Krinsk ~ Rich Leib ~ Dr. Sol Lizerbram ~ George Mitrovitch ~ Walter Munk, PhD ~ Mark Niblack, MD ~ Robert Meinzer & Stephen McIntee ~ Hon. Bob Nelson ~ Steve Peace ~ Fern Steiner ~ Kevin Tilden & Philip Diamond, MD ~ Frank Urtasun ~ David & Teresa Valladolid ~ Shawn VanDiver ~ Alan Viterbi ~ Jim Waring ~  WOW! NOW THAT'S A LOT OF HEAVY HITTERS FOR KEVIN! Where: 9776 La Jolla Farms Road, La Jolla, CA 92037 RSVP email to [address removed]



TUESDAY DEC 15 at 3:00 to 6:00 p.m. " FELLOW DEMOCRATS ANNUAL HOLIDAY PARTY " Coming Together for the Holidays is a time-honored tradition. "I hope you'll mark your calendar and join me and fellow Democrats at our annual holiday party on Sunday, December 15, from 3:00 to 6:00 p.m. at the Riverwalk Golf Club in Mission Valley. It will be festive and fun! As we wrap up this extraordinary year with its highs and lows, now's the time to gather together to appreciate one another, meet our local candidates and elected leaders, and cheer our growing Democratic community.    Please go to to get your ticket today. Please go to to get your ticket today. You can view a flyer for the event here. The conveniently located Riverwalk (1150 Fashion Valley Rd., San Diego 92108) offers sweeping views of the greenery along the San Diego River. Your contribution of $40 includes heavy appetizers, a mini-taco station, dessert, beverages, and a lively gathering.   All proceeds will benefit Democratic campaign activities in San Diego County in 2014, which is already shaping up to be a critically important election year.   I look forward to celebrating the season with you!   Truly, Francine Busby Chair, San Diego County Democratic Party Where: Riverwalk Golf Club in Mission Valley, 150 Fashion Valley Rd., San Diego 92108



TUESDAY DECEMBER 31 at 8:00PM PAULA POUNDSTONE'S NEW YEAR'S EVE SPECTACULAR! Poundstone's New Year's Eve Spectacular Paula Poundstone's New Year's Eve Spectacular at Balboa Theatre in San Diego! If you love to laugh then this is the place to be on New Year's Eve! Limited tickets available for the VIP dinner package with an appearance by Paula. Tickets on sale now. Get yours early and get ready to laugh! Where: Balboa Theatre, 868 4th Ave, San Diego · Phone (619)[masked]



★ ★ ★ *** ★ ★ ★ JANUARY 2014 ★ ★ ★ *** ★ ★ ★



*** FRIDAY JAN 3  NOON 12:00 PM The City Club of San Diego Proudly Presents: A Luncheon featuring " FOUR REMARKABLE COLLEGE STUDENTS •NINA CHURCH of Stanford •KELSEY MILLER of Harvard DAN STEIN of Yale    & •JESSICA WILSON of Tufts

Details of this event will be on our website: Shortly.








***WED JAN 8  at 7-8:45PM " San Diego DFA & San Diego PDA Metro MEETUP " • TBA Email: [address removed] *Where: Giovanni's restaurant's meeting room in main dining room, 9353 Clairemont Mesa Blvd., San Diego, CA 92123. (Corner of Clairemont Mesa Blvd. & Ruffin Rd. across from the Voters Registrar's Office)FREE EVENT! ALL ARE WELCOME! Website:





*** JAN 9 at TBA   The City Club of San Diego Proudly Presents: " A CONCERT with the Famous YALE WIFFENPOOFS " Details of this event will be on our website Shortly.




*** FRIDAY JAN 17 at 12 NOON  LUNCHEON " The City Club of San Diego Proudly Presents: BEN BRADLEE JR. - former Reporter and Editor of the Boston Globe,  Author of and Speaking on: “The Kid: The Immortal Life of Ted Williams” Luncheon - Catered by Athens Market Where: Community Room,  La Jolla Country Day School. LJ $20 for Members, $30 for Guests Phone:[masked] Details on this event go to our website: Event Sponsor: Point Loma Nazarene University





*** SAT JAN 26  AT TBA   The City Club of San Diego Proudly Presents: " GOVERNOR MICHAEL DUKAKIS will give his Annual State of the Nation Address " Details of this event will be on our website: Shortly.







★ ★ ★ *** ★ ★ ★ FEBRUARY 2014 ★ ★ ★ *** ★ ★ ★

***  SAT FEB 8 at 7:00 - 10:00PM "FAMILY EQUALITY COUNCIL is to present the 10th Annual LOS ANGELES AWARDS DINNER " at the Globe Theatre, Universal Studios Hollywood.  Time: 7:00pm Cocktail Reception, 8:00pm Dinner & Program.   Family Equality Council is proud to present its 10th annual Los Angeles Awards Dinner, our premier West Coast event aimed at connecting the growing Los Angeles community of families headed by LGBT parents and supporters, as well as, advancing efforts to create equality for all families. HONOREES: JENNIFER TYRRELL Jen is an “accidental” advocate after being removed from her leadership position with Boy Scouts of America (BSA) because she is gay. Never having been involved in advocacy prior to her dismissal, she has since become a loud and proud voice for the LGBT community. BRAD BREDEWEG After working for several prolific filmmakers in the industry, Bradley decided to jump out on his own and partnered with Madonna and her Maverick Films. PETER PAIGE As an actor, Peter is best known for his five-year run as Emmett Honeycutt on Showtime’s hit series Queer as Folk.   THE FOSTERS"  “The Fosters” is a compelling, one-hour drama from ABC Family about a multi-ethnic family mix of foster and biological kids being raised by two moms.  Family Equality Council will welcome parents who are LGBT, allies and honorees on February 8th to Universal Studios’ Globe Theatre for an evening that will include live performances and appearances by notables in the world of arts, entertainment, politics and the LGBT movement. "Gabriel Blau, Family Equality Council" <[address removed]> Info: Valerie Basnight Events Associate email:[address removed] or Call: [masked] RSVP: Where: Globe Theatre, Universal Studios Hollywood, niversal Studios Special Events 100 Universal City Plaza,[masked], Universal City, CA 91608




★ ★ ★ *** ★ ★ ★ APRIL 2014 ★ ★ ★ *** ★ ★ ★


*** THURSDAY APRIL 24, 2014   Save The Date: April 24, 2014 for  " ★ WE CAN DO BETTER'S ★ SIXTH ANNUAL CONFERENCE in Portland, OR ★ " .More information here: WCDB Interim Director Amy Cooper will be part of the panel discussion. Watch here.We have a great team planning our conference, if you would like to join the planning or sponsor our conference contact AMY at [address removed] .

Calendar of Events ends.***********************




★ # 1. Momentum for Alvarez Builds Toward Mayoral Runoff
Ballots in San Diego's recent special mayoral election are now tallied, putting endorsed Democratic candidate David Alvarez three points ahead of his nearest rival and guaranteeing him a spot in the runoff.

Democrat Nathan Fletcher conceded the race in a gracious statement just after Election Day, throwing his support behind Alvarez. County Party Chair Francine Busby and other Democratic leaders thanked him for running a positive campaign and expressed their hope to work together in the future.

With the runoff as little as two months away, Alvarez continues to build momentum in his bid to defeat Kevin Faulconer. Where the Republican offers downtown-driven, business-as-usual politics, Alvarez promises innovation, neighborhood representation, and a fresh approach to leadership in City Hall.
His path to victory involves consolidating the votes won by all Democrats last month and expanding turnout through a strong get-out-the-vote operation. Time is very limited and impacted by the holidays, so every dollar and hour will truly count! To donate or volunteer for Alvarez, please go to




★ # 2.
Democratic Holiday Party on Dec. 15 to Highlight Unity

We hope you'll join us as San Diego Democrats come together for our annual holiday celebration on Sunday, December 15, from 3:00 to 6:00 p.m. at the beautiful Riverwalk Golf Club (1150 Fashion Valley Road, San Diego 92108).

The $40 tickets for this festive event will include heavy appetizers, a street-taco station, beverages, assorted desserts, and holiday entertainment, with proceeds going to support campaign efforts in 2014. Mix and mingle with elected officials and candidates, including our featured guest speaker, San Diego Mayoral Candidate David Alvarez.

The event sells out every year, so we encourage you and your friends to reserve your place today at You can download an event flyer here. Please call (858)[masked] or email [address removed] for assistance.



★ # 3. Escondido Gears Up for New District Elections
Escondido's Independent Districting Commission recently approved a map dividing the city into four districts for City Council elections. The change was initiated by a voting-rights lawsuit holding that the previous at-large elections discriminated against Latinos.
Democrats now have an opportunity to challenge incumbent Republican Councilmember Ed Gallo, who has been criticized for anti-immigrant positions, next year in the new majority-Latino District 1.
Escondido's history includes laws promoting traffic checkpoints and an attempt in 2006 to prohibit landlords from renting to unauthorized immigrants. These issues were among those that inspired City Councilmember Olga Diaz to beat the odds and become the city's only Latina and Democratic elected official in 2008. She is now the Party's endorsed candidate for the citywide election for Mayor next November.

The City Council will discuss the proposed new lines on Wednesday, December 4. Residents of Escondido are encouraged to attend. For more information, contact the Escondido Democratic Club President, Chris Nava, at [address removed].

★ # 4. Jared Gilmour[address removed]


Investors Might Want To Think Twice About Oil Sands And The Promise Of Keystone XL

Posted: 11/25/2013 5:44 pm EST |  Updated: 11/25/2013 5:50 pm ES

The Keystone XL pipeline could encourage risky investments in the Alberta oil sands, according to a report released Monday by a climate change think tank.


If completed, Keystone XL would transport 800,000 barrels of tar sands oil per day from Alberta, Canada, down to Gulf Coast refineries in the United States. The Obama administration has delayed a decision on the section of the pipeline that would cross the U.S.-Canada border, which needs approval from the State Department to proceed.

Carbon Tracker's new report indicates that while Keystone XL would increase revenues for oil sands companies in the short term, the long-term profitability of tar sands is questionable, given fluctuating oil prices and growing concerns over carbon emissions. Environmental concerns may lead to increased regulations to curb emissions, the report contends, which could affect potential profits from oil sands (also known as tar sands).

But the immediate, potential windfall from Keystone may make the oil sands attractive to investors, according to Carbon Tracker co-adviser Mark Fulton.

"We're saying, 'Watch out,'" Fulton said, adding that even if Keystone XL is built, tar sands development would still be "really on the margin of what's profitable" for investors. The study describes tar sands development as "risky high-cost, high-carbon projects, dependent on rising oil prices." If investors put too much capital into Alberta oil sands and then oil prices don't meet expectations, Fulton said it could be a "very rough ride" for investors.

Environmentalists have expressed anxiety over the climate impacts of continued tar sands development. Fulton said those concerns could prompt increased environmental regulations, which could make the oil sands less profitable for investors.

It remains to be seen whether the Keystone XL pipeline will even be built. During a speech on climate change in June, President Barack Obama said carbon emissions are a key concern in the pipeline's approval. "Our national interest will be served only if this project does not significantly exacerbate the problem of carbon pollution," Obama said. "The pipeline's effect on climate will be absolutely critical to determining whether this project will go forward."

TransCanada, the company seeking to build Keystone XL, has billed the pipeline as an opportunity for the U.S. to alleviate its dependence on oil from volatile regions like the Middle East. Canada is already the largest single country and the second-largest source to supply the U.S. with foreign oil.

"U.S. producers and refiners along with Canadian companies have signed long-term (18-20 year), binding commercial contracts with customers to move oil from Canada and the U.S. to the refining hub in the Houston area," TransCanada spokesman Davis Sheremata said in an email to HuffPost. "Our customers have put millions of dollars on the line to ensure their product reaches the markets where they are needed -- now and for a long time to come."

And last week Shawn Howard, another TransCanada representative, told The Washington Post that "even with the growth of U.S. production in places like the Bakken or other fields, the U.S. will continue to rely on millions of barrels every day and KXL is a part of helping get more safe, secure and stable supplies of oil to refineries, especially on the U.S. Gulf Coast.”

However, Mark Lewis, external research adviser to Carbon Tracker, said that the benefits of Keystone XL may not come to fruition, particularly for investors. Lewis said in a statement that "the vision of improved prices it promises could quickly be wiped out by increasing costs, meaning investors who believed the mirage of improved oil-sands economics with KXL will be left disappointed."






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