Professional forecasters in finance, politics, and business can fail for many reasons. (Have you ever tracked their rates of success?) Sometimes they fall in love with one theory, which they try to apply to every situation, or they’re paid to promote a specific point of view, which can influence their analyses. Ironically, average people can be more successful because they might approach the same information with a more open mind and have no stake in the outcome. Pat Wagner is coming back to talk about why we should be skeptical of professional predictors of the future.
(Apologies for the last second topic change)
We will be meeting at the Independence Institute not at choppers. Doors open at 6, talk starts at 7. Drinks will be provided. Anyone is welcome to bring their own food, or food to share.
Directions, when facing the front of the building, you will want to go into the side door on the left side of the building, in the alleyway. As we have to keep the door closed for security, you will need to knock, ring the bell or you can message our telegram group and someone will come open the door for you. You can join Telegram here: http://tinyurl.com/TelegramLOTR
