# Eastern Ohio Freethinkers

Eastern Ohio Freethinkers Message Board › El Campesino Topic : Odds and probabilities

# El Campesino Topic : Odds and probabilities

 A former member Posted 8/4/13 2:26 PM Link to discussion Post #: 6 During our monthly get together at El Campesino's the discussion turned to odds and probabilities. I had brought up the Monty Hall Effect and it appears I had described it incorrectly. I described it as picking one of 3 doors in which a prize was behind 1 door and the other 2 doors had nothing. I incorrectly stated that after picking a door you were given the chance to change your choice and none of the doors were revealed. Actually, once you chose a door then 1 of the 2 remaining doors was revealed to show a loser. You where then allowed to exchange your choice for the remaining door and in doing so it increased your odds of winning by picking the other door increased. Here is a link to wikipedia that describes the situation much better than I did :http://en.wikipedia.o...­The way I understand it, with 3 choices you have a 1/3 chance of picking the correct door. When one of the remaining doors is revealed to be a loser it leaves you a 2/3 chance then to pick the winning door and more often than not it will be the door that you didn't originally pick.

Founded Apr 11, 2012