Surfing The Sixth Wave, with Stephen Aguilar-Millan

Surfing The Sixth Wave: Modelling The Next Technology Boom

The first in a new series of talks, The Next Golden Age Of Technology[masked]

*** Note change of room, to room B20, to accommodate a larger audience ***

About "The Next Golden Age of Technology,[masked]":

This series of meetings will feature prominent futurists, who will use different approaches to consider forecasts for the period including[masked] - a period which has the potential (if we reach it safely) to be a golden age of technology.

Can we in fact forecast the future with any degree of confidence? Many people believe that, as there are so many imponderables, the long range future is opaque to us.

There is a point to this, but it is not the whole story. Underlying where we are today are a number of longer term trends and developments that occur with such regularity to make them something of a recurring cycle. For example, we can see a pattern in the developments from the letter, to the telegraph, to the telephone, to twitter.

The purpose of this series of meetings is to consider the evidence supporting these "long models" of technological advance, and to speculate on how they might unfold.

About "Surfing the Sixth Wave: Modelling the next technology boom":

This session will examine the long cycles of technological development, considering where we are now, and where we are likely to go next.

We will begin by considering the different types of futurist and the different time horizons to which they apply their trade. From that, we shall consider how to model the long term future, and which models of the long term are reasonably persuasive. We shall then outline a model of long term technological development, an appreciation of where we are now, and an outline of where we would expect to head next.

Using this framework, we should be able to speculate on a number of important questions, including whether the Singularity is, actually, near.

About Stephen Aguilar-Millan:

Stephen Aguilar-Millan is the Director of Research at the European Futures Observatory, a futures think tank based in the UK. Stephen is also the President of the World Future Society (WFS) Europe Chapter, and sits on the Global Advisory Council of the WFS. He is a member of the Association of Professional Futurists, and sat on their Board from 2006 to 2009.

Stephen writes widely, and is a Contributing Editor of FUTUREtakes, a futures magazine based in the US. He is also a Commissioning Editor of World Future Review, a futures journal based in Washington DC.

Stephen's current research projects include 'The Next Golden Age Of Technology[masked]', 'Europe After The Euro', and 'Reconciling Austerity With The Future'.

Meeting logistics:

2pm-4pm, Saturday 15th September

Venue: Room B20, Birkbeck College, Torrington Square WC1E 7HX, London.

Room B20 is on the basement level in the main Birkbeck College building, in Torrington Square (which is a pedestrian-only square). Torrington Square is about 10 minutes walk from either Russell Square or Goodge St tube stations.

Coffee and other light refreshments can be purchased from the Costa Coffee shop in the reception area of the building, either ahead of or after the meeting.

The event will be followed by a chance to continue the discussion in a nearby pub - The Marlborough Arms, 36 Torrington Place, London WC1E 7HJ

Optional pre-meeting rendezvous - please feel free to join a small number of regular London Futurist attendees at the Marlborough Arms any time from 12.30pm onwards, for general chat over a light lunch and/or drinks. To find us, look out for a table with a futurist book on it.

The meeting is free to attend - no charge.

Join or login to comment.

  • David W.

    The slides from this talk are now available at http://www.meetup.com/London-Fu...­ - split into three sections. My thanks to Stephen Aguilar-Millan for making these available

    September 22, 2012

    • Michael P.

      Excellent, many thanks for this David : ) I will try and make future events!

      September 23, 2012

  • Dimitrios M.

    Very interesting presentation and discussion. Very well organized too.

    September 19, 2012

  • A former member
    A former member

    I attended the talk and it was great thank you. I think this TED video deserves a watch as it seems to go a little way towards answering the questions raised about the shortening of time-durations between successive tech innovation. Enjoy! http://www.ted.com/talks/geoffr...­

    September 18, 2012

  • A former member
    A former member

    Interesting commentary on future scarcity of oil (i.e. Peak Oil) by Porter Stansberry:

    http://goldnews.bullionvault.co...­

    September 18, 2012

  • William E.

    Excellent talk - many thanks to those involved.

    September 17, 2012

  • Stephen A.

    I thought that it was brilliant, but them I am biased (I was the speaker!).

    September 17, 2012

  • evangineer

    I enjoyed the talk, it was well constructed & laid the ground for the rest of the series.

    September 17, 2012

  • Michael P.

    Many thanks David

    September 17, 2012

  • A former member
    A former member

    Excellent and thought provoking. Probably one of the best Futurist meetups I have been to in a while.

    September 17, 2012

  • David W.

    I'll update the slides as soon as the speaker approves them for release. In the meantime, I've covered some aspects of this talk in my blogpost at http://dw2blog.com/2012/09/16/t...­

    September 16, 2012

  • Michael P.

    Please can someone put a video online, I spent two hours trying to get to the event only to be thwarted by cancelled trains and idiotic football thugs on route causing problems on the underground

    1 · September 15, 2012

    • terence f.

      sorry about the typos

      September 15, 2012

    • Philip B.

      I, too, had the train trauma so would really appreciate the slide deck. Was looking forward to the event all week...

      September 16, 2012

  • Mirco

    great!

    September 16, 2012

  • Matias C.

    Interesting talk

    September 16, 2012

  • Jeremy

    Excellent talk - informative and thought-provoking

    September 15, 2012

  • terence f.

    A good introduction to the subject. So many factors with which to disagree.

    September 15, 2012

  • Maneesh J.

    Stephen delivered the talk with vision, confidence and inspiration. Extremely useful! David did a great job of moderating the session and making sure as many people got a chance to ask a question.

    September 15, 2012

  • Daniel J.

    Thanks Stephen! Great meetup. Thoroughly fascinating topic. Looking forward to the rest.

    September 15, 2012

  • Robin P.

    Very informative and excellent to have an economics perspective on what might happen in the future. I found myself nodding in agreement with many of Stephen's views. Looking forward to hearing from more speakers in this series of lectures.

    September 15, 2012

  • David W.

    *** Note change of room, to room B20, to accommodate a larger audience ***

    Also note: Optional pre-meeting rendezvous - please feel free to join a small number of regular London Futurist attendees at the Marlborough Arms any time from 12.30pm onwards, for general chat over a light lunch and/or drinks. To find us, look out for a table with a futurist book on it.

    September 12, 2012

  • Monika G.

    I would love to attend, this is a topic I am particularly interested in. Unfortunately I will be away that Saturday...

    August 31, 2012

    • Stephen A.

      Monika, we have talked about recording the session. If that comes off, then you will be able to watch it on-line. I plan to post the slides on the web site, so you can follow the session that way.

      August 31, 2012

  • David W.

    Hi Monika - I'm trying to publicise the dates of forthcoming meetings as far in advance as possible, so people have the best chance to schedule their other trips so as not to miss the events that interest them the most. I'm sorry you can't make this one!

    August 31, 2012

  • David W.

    Hi George - Sorry, we have no plans for live broadcasting these events yet. On the other hand, we hope to film them and make the film available subsequently.

    1 · July 21, 2012

  • George

    Will this event (Surfing the Sixth Wave) be broadcast on the web?
    (I am located in Eagan, Minnesota, USA, and will not be able to attend locally.)
    Thank you
    George Kubik <[masked]>

    July 21, 2012

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