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Presentation: Bayesian Reasoning and Evolutionary Biology

Bayesian Reasoning and Evolutionary Biology

A talk by Dr. Ivan Phillips

After reading and learning about the theory of evolution, many of us (and almost all biologists) find the theory to be quite compelling. The theory makes sense to us. It just seems ‘right’. However, as people who aspire to be rational, we don’t want to accept theories merely on the basis that they 'seem right' or that they are persuasive in some vague manner. We prefer to accept theories after they have been formally justified.

Bayesian reasoning is a formal way to update one’s beliefs in the face of new evidence. In this presentation, I’ll explain the basic principles of Bayesian reasoning, and show how they apply to the evidence for evolutionary biology.


NOTE: Due to the number of attendees, we've had to move the location a second time, now to Sofra Turkish Kitchen. They have food and drink and plenty of space. Please order food and drink. Thank you, and sorry for the confusion!


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  • Ivan

    We've had to move the location a second time: we will now be at Sofra Turkish Kitchen at 3134 N Lincoln (just south of Belmont). They have food and drink and plenty of space for everyone. Please order food and drink at the restaurant. Thank you, and sorry for the confusion!

    January 29, 2013

    • A former member
      A former member

      :))) Come on Ivan, my girlfriend changes her mind less often...Wasn't it the main principal of rationality "think first then do"...:))) No worries, it's OK, just make sure the next location has some bunny's too...then we can call it a rational thinking.. :)))

      January 29, 2013

  • Jeff

    After reading the description of this talk, it brought to mind a book I read a couple years ago: How We Decide/Jonah Lehrer. I will be interested to see if there's any common concepts and differences in perspective. Looking forward to this! :)

    1 · January 27, 2013

  • A former member
    A former member

    I will bring cookies & hugs!! ;)

    1 · January 18, 2013

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