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The Fourth Turning

From: Chris B.
Sent on: Friday, June 26, 2009 3:49 AM
All,
 
I read an interesting book recently, and I wanted to share it w/ you all.   It is called THE FOURTH TURNING, and was written by 2 historians named Strauss & Howe.   In a nutshell, the authors think that economic and political events follow cycles.    They also believe that generations shape these cycles, and are, conversely shaped by them.  My point is not to convince anybody of their premise.   In fact, I am not sure how much of it I agree with, myself.   However, I do think it is an interesing premise and, if it is really true, it holds some possible encouragement for advocates of Liberty.
 
Specifically, the authors believe that, every[masked] years, we go through a series of "seasons" that kind of mimic Spring/Summer/Fall/Winter.   They are, respectively, an Awakening, a "High", an Unravelling, and a Crisis.   The Awakenings kind of set the prevailing philosophy until the next Crisis, or Turning.  The authors said in the late 1990s that we would begin a Crisis period right about now (late 2000s).   The last Crisis was the Depression/WWII.
 
So, the reason I think it is germaine to this forum is that, assuming there is some truth to this, the nature of the next Awakening is really up for grabs.  I honestly think that, in the next decade, people are going to be really disillusioned about putting so much stock in the government to take care of them.   There could be an enormous backlash, and that could really flavor American politics for the next century.   By the way, according to the theory, the Crisis follows an Unraveling, which is a period of tearing down the last social order.   The last social order was, in my view, the era of big government (Cold War, Vietnam War, Great Society, Space Program, etc.).
 
Anyway, here is a link to it on wikipedia.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fourth_Turning
 
I have a copy of the book, if anyone on here wants to read it.
 
Warm regards,
 
Chris Blair
San Jose
 
 

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