Bi-Weekly Discussion - The Future of Islam in Europe


Details
We're currently hosting our discussions at Café Walnut, not too far from our summer meeting spot in Washington Square Park. The cafe is near the corner of 7th & Walnut in Olde City. The cafe's entrance is below street level down some stairs, which can be confusing if it's your first time. Our group meets in the large room upstairs.
Since we're using the cafe's space, they ask that each person attending the meetup at least purchase a drink or snack. Please don't bring any food or drinks from outside. If you're hungry enough to eat a meal, they have more substantial fare such as salads, soups & sandwiches which are pretty good and their prices are reasonable.
The cafe is fairly easy to get to if you're using public transit. With SEPTA, take the Market-Frankford Line & get off at the 5th Street Station (corner of 5th & Market), and walk 2 blocks south on 5th and then turn right on Walnut Street and walk 2 blocks west. With PATCO, just get off at the 9th-10th & Locust stop and walk 3 blocks east & 1 block north. For those who are driving, parking in the neighborhood can be tough to find. If you can't find a spot on the street, I'd suggest parking in the Washington Square parking deck at 249 S 6th Street which is just a half block away.
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THE REPERCUSSIONS FROM THE E.U. MIGRANT CRISIS & THE FUTURE OF ISLAM IN EUROPE
In our last discussion, we addressed the immigration debate in the U.S., and looked at the way political psychology & political philosophy can help us understand why people adopt different frameworks (implicitly or explicitly) for understanding citizenship & immigration. We then addressed the economic, social & political implications of the large numbers of Hispanic immigrants that have settled primarily in the American Southwest over the last 40 years. Much of that material will be relevant to this discussion, which will address the impacts of Muslim immigration to Europe. In the interest of covering new ground rather than rehashing old material, it may be valuable for people to briefly review the previous discussion outline:
https://www.meetup.com/Philadelphia-Political-Agnostics/events/xvbrznyxlbhb/
This meetup will begin by addressing both the economic impacts of the 2015-2016 migrant crisis in Europe, as well as the broader issue of how immigration from predominately Muslim countries affects the Europe - with a particular focus on the sustainability of European welfare states and the open border policy of the EU's "Schengen area".
In the second section, we'll turn to look at the political effects of the migrant crisis & Europe's rising Muslim population on European politics. We'll look not only at the rising importance of Muslim voters & Muslim politicians, but also at the alliance European Muslims have forged with left-wing parties (a.k.a. "Islamo-leftism") and the recent nativist backlash that has led to the rise of far right parties in Europe.
In the third section, we'll look at some debates over the demigraphic makeup of the recent influx of migrants & refugees since 2015, as well as the broader debate over the demographic effects of the rising Muslim population in Europe due to immigration & higher birth rates, as well as conversion. In the near term, this has sparked outcries over "white flight" and the "browning" and/or "Islamicization" of certain neighborhoods & towns in Europe, but also there are fears on the political right that the Muslim population will become a majority in Europe by mid century - a.k.a. the "Eurabia" scenario.
In the last section, we'll address the evidence we have on the rate of assimilation of Muslims into Europe's secular culture & the norms of modern liberal democracy (e.g. freedom of speech, church-state separation, women's rights, gay rights, etc.). We'll try to connect the empirical data on these trends to the debate over whether or not Islam needs something analogous to the "Reformation" or "Enlightenment", and whether or not Europe could provide the environment under which a transformation of Islam could occur.
NOTE: This discussion will be immediately preceded by a related but narrower discussion hosted by Skeptics in the Pub, running from 1-3pm, on some of the allegations about a "migrant crime epidemic" that have been swirling around the 2014-2015 migrant crisis in Europe, as well concerns about radicalization among Europe's growing Muslim population. To check out the discussion outline & RSVP, go here: https://www.meetup.com/Philly-Skeptics/events/251759967/
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DIRECTIONS ON HOW TO PREPARE FOR OUR DISCUSSION:
The videos & articles you see linked below are intended to give you a basic overview of some of the scholarly frameworks we can use for assessing the debates over the EU migrant crisis and the future of Islam in Europe. As usual, I certainly don't expect you to read all the articles & watch all the videos prior to attending our discussion. The easiest way to prepare for our discussion is to just watch the numbered video clips linked under each section - the videos come to about 43 minutes total. If you can't watch all of them, don't worry - just watch as much as you can.
The articles marked with asterisks are just there to supply additional details. You can browse and look at whichever ones you want, but don't worry - we'll cover the stuff you missed in our discussion.
In terms of the discussion format, my general idea is that we'll address the topics in the order presented here. I figure we'll spend about 30 minutes on each section.
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I. BREXIT & THE ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF MIGRANTS ON THE EUROZONE & EUROPEAN WELFARE STATES:
1a) Euronews - Real Economy, "The economic impact of Europe's refugee crisis" (video - 8:13 min, start at 0:11)
https://youtu.be/LbCqfM13G8k?t=11
1b) TLDR News, "Does Europe Actually Need More Immigrants?" (video - 7:21 min.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2XqCqxFFt0
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IGM Experts, "Refugees in Germany"
http://www.igmchicago.org/surveys/refugees-in-germany
http://www.igmchicago.org/surveys/refugees-in-germany-2 -
IGM Experts, "Migration Within Europe"
http://www.igmchicago.org/surveys/migration-within-europe -
IGM Experts, "Brexit II"
http://www.igmchicago.org/surveys/brexit-ii
http://www.igmchicago.org/surveys/brexit-2 -
IGM Experts, "France’s Labor Market"
http://www.igmchicago.org/surveys/frances-labor-market -
CFM Survey, "Are academic economists ‘in touch’ with voters and politicians?"
http://cfmsurvey.org/surveys/are-academic-economists-‘-touch’-voters-and-politicians -
CFM Survey, "Migration and the UK economy (August 2014)"
http://cfmsurvey.org/surveys/migration-and-uk-economy-august-2014
II. THE INFLUENCE OF ISLAM ON EUROPE'S POLITICS: THE MUSLIM VOTE, ISLAMO-LEFTISM & THE NATIVIST BACKLASH
2a) Al Jazeera, "Taking the pulse of the UK's Muslim voters [in 2010]" (video - 2:38 min.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6s6PIXBTExA
2b) Euronews, "Islam Party stirs controversy ahead of Belgian elections [2018]" (video - 2:08 min.)
https://youtu.be/cOIy2k9ZALg
2c) NowThis World, "Why Right-Wing Groups Are On The Rise In Europe" (video - 3:16 min.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jaWGCaNj1Vw
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Soeren Kern, "Muslim Voters Change Europe [by voting for Socialist parties]"
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/3064/muslim-voters-europe -
Maajid Nawaz, "The Secret Life of Sadiq Khan, London’s First Muslim Mayor. Yes, Sadiq Khan sucked up to extremist Muslims in the past, but, still, congratulations are in order for him—and the voters."
https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-secret-life-of-sadiq-khan-londons-first-muslim-mayor -
Paul Taylor, "Europe’s center right cannot hold. After the implosion of the moderate left, it’s the conservatives’ turn to collapse."
https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-center-right-cannot-hold-epp-angela-merkel-christian-democrats-migration/ -
Andrew F. March and Michael Walzer, "Islamism and the Left: An Exchange"
https://www.dissentmagazine.org/article/islamism-and-left-exchange
III. THE DEBATE OVER THE DEMOGRAPHICS OF THE MIGRANTS, WHITE FLIGHT & FEARS OF "EURABIA" BY 2050:
3a) RT w/ Valerie Hudson, "Sweden didn’t consider women when it took in migrant men disproportionately" (video - 2:22 min.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dRoyUViRQY
3b) RT, "White Flight: Diversity extremes push Londoners' exodus" (video - 4:10 min.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yaGcpdYHfxM
3c) Pew Research, "Facts about the Muslim Population in Europe [in 2016]" (video - 4:52 min.)
https://youtu.be/Hc0E3_oKPbc
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Doug Saunders, "The Migrant Crisis: 8 Reasons Why It's Not What You Think: (1) Most refuges never leave their country, (2) Refugees are a recurring crisis, not a constant one, (3) Many countries see refugees only during conflicts, (4) Most refugees arrive by land, not boat, (5) Most boat people aren't Syrian, and often aren't refugees, (6) Western countries see relatively few refugees, (7) Refugees are very unevenly distributed in the West, (8) Tougher [border] policing doesn't reduce [migrant] numbers, but kills more."
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/europes-migrant-crisis-eight-reasons-its-not-what-youthink/article26194675/ -
Phillip Connor (Pew Research), "Asylum seeker demography: young and male"
http://www.pewglobal.org/2016/08/02/4-asylum-seeker-demography-young-and-male/ -
Pew Research, "Europe’s Growing Muslim Population: Muslims are projected to increase as a share of Europe’s population – even with no future migration"
http://www.pewforum.org/2017/11/29/europes-growing-muslim-population/ -
Aamna Modin, "The EU countries that desperately need migrants to avoid shrinkage—and those that don’t"
https://qz.com/1325640/the-european-countries-that-desperately-need-migrants-to-avoid-demographic-decline-and-those-that-dont/ -
Ross Douthat, "Europe's Darkened Future"
https://douthat.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/11/16/europes-darkened-future/
IV. MUSLIM ASSIMILATION & THE POSSIBILITY OF AN "ISLAMIC REFORMATION" IN EUROPE BY 2050:
4a) Gallup World Poll [2007], "Muslim Identity [in Europe]" (video - 2:30 min)
https://youtu.be/04ETnwmqNy8
4b) Good Morning Britain w/ Yalta Ahmad, "How Integrated Are British Muslims [in 2017]? (video - 3:46 min)
https://youtu.be/uPTIltHu9jE
4c) Dilly Hussain, "Does Islam Need A Reformation?" (video - 2:57 min, start at 0:34)
https://youtu.be/tlIucWD7R5Q?t=34
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Tyler Cowen, "Europe's Muslims Are More Integrated Than You Think."
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-09-07/europe-s-muslims-are-more-integrated-than-you-think -
Jim Edwards, "Policy Exhange poll of Muslim attitudes: Only 4% of British Muslims believe Al Qaeda planned 9/11" https://www.businessinsider.com/policy-exchange-survey-muslim-attitudes-beliefs-911-september-11-2016-12?r=UK&IR=T
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Zack Hassan, "Ipsos MORI review of survey research on Muslims in Britain: Young British Muslims are becoming more liberal - but they aren't less religious as a result"
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/british-muslims-ipsos-mori-liberal-imams-islam-a8334196.html -
Mustafa Akyol, "The Islamic World Doesn't Need a Reformation. Why a Muslim John Locke would be much more useful than a Muslim Martin Luther."
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/10/muslim-reformation/544343/

Bi-Weekly Discussion - The Future of Islam in Europe