A Primer on Bayesian Reasoning

The Agenda:

• A discussion of our goals and plans for 2012, including suggestions for speakers, topics and events.

• Our first presentation!

• Fun!

The Presentation:

A Primer on Bayesian Reasoning
by Ivan Phillips

Bayesian reasoning is the proper method to update one's beliefs in light of new evidence, and it's an aspect of rational thinking that is not well understood by the general public.

Ivan will give an introduction to the concepts used in Bayesian reasoning, and present some ways to intuitively grasp the method.