• Systems Collapse

    The Clyde Hotel

    Life and Death as Systems Collapse With talk of an unwanted race between unimaginable global-scale ecological and economic collapse, it can be useful to remind ourselves that systems collapse is a common and familiar occurrence at other scales. While there are various ways systems can collapse, commonalities include difficulty of precise prediction and common involvement of multiple contributing factors. Systems prone to collapse have a web of internal dependencies which are needed to adjust to external variability. Life itself is a classic example. Continued health depends on keeping those internals performing within tolerance limits. Increasing connectedness of man-made systems is pushing them into similar territory. Deaths from "natural causes" provide familiar examples of systems collapse at human scale. They can also inform our understanding of bigger risks. There will also be discussion around systems collapse as global catastrophic risk, the economic implications of automation and AI on the job market, and relevant risk management approaches. 5.45 - Meet, great, and eat.. pub food - it's actually not bad! Feel free to come early to take advantage of the $8.50 pints from[masked]. 7.00 - Tony Smith - Life & Death as Systems Collapse 7.45 - Jack Strocci - Economic Systems Collapse Tony Smith, expert on emergent phenomenon will give 'Life and Death as Systems Collapse'. Jack Strocci, economist, will talk about economic collapse. Q&A & further discussion after the talk. Where: The Clyde Hotel (upstairs in function room) - bring your appetite, there is a good menu: https://www.theclydehotel.com.au When: 6pm, though a few of us will be there earlier (say 5pm) to take advantage of the $8.50 pints (from 4-6pm) *Please only RSVP if you can make it :)* More details to come. Check this talk by Jarred Diamond 'Why do systems collapse?' Abstract: Why do societies fail? With lessons from the Norse of Iron Age Greenland, deforested Easter Island and present-day Montana, Jared Diamond talks about the signs that collapse is near, and how -- if we see it in time -- we can prevent it. https://www.ted.com/talks/jared_diamond_on_why_societies_collapse?language=en Also see Luke Kemp's writing on civilisational collapse: http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20190218-are-we-on-the-road-to-civilisation-collapse *p.s. the event may be videoed - if you have any issues with being seen or heard on youtube, please let us know.