Scale of Harm: Estimating the Prevalence of Trafficking

Presentation by Rowland Seymour:
The Scale of Harm was an international project to estimate the number of children in the Philippines being trafficked to generate online child sexual exploitation. IN this talk, I will explain how we developed a method to generate the first national prevalence estimate for this crime. We carried out a survey of over 3,000 filipino households collecting aggregated relationship data and developed hierarchical Bayesian model to efficiently generate prevalence estimates for local municipalities in the Philippines. The results show that Nearly half a million Filipino children were trafficked to produce new child sexual exploitation material in 2022.