Careful analysis of statistics speaks louder than dunderheaded blather-
With its last-minute switch on Florida the crew at the Five Thirty Eigh
t picked all 50 states correctly, although they had FL at exactly 50/50 (but shaded blue) and they left the FL electoral votes split between Obama and Romney.
The similar polling aggregate Votamatic
hit the nail on the head (Obama 332 Romney 206) without any last-minute corrections, and those figures were there for a week or 2.
Here's the kind of people one shouldn't listen to- mostly conservative pundits who just blab with no data-