Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner | Book Club

Suggested by: Steven S
Pages to read: 253
ISBN: 9780804136693 (Originally listed edition)
ISBN: 9780804136709 (Edition Eugene is using)

Eugene's review of the book (Blog Link, Click Here)

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While reading the book, consider the below questions:
•What is the raison d’etre of the book? For what purpose did the author write the book? Why do people read this book?
•What are some limitations of the book?
•To whom would you suggest this book?
•What is forecasting?
•Who are superforecasters?
•How to know which forecasts are quality forecasts?
•How does uncertainty effect forecasts?
•What is Laplace’s demon?
•How does ideology effect forecasts?
•Is intelligence needed for quality forecasts?
•Is math needed? How to use math in forecasts?
•What is the base rate?
•How do teams compare to individual forecasters?
•How to Fermi-tize a question?
•How to be part of a team?
•What is groupthink?
•How to update to new information?
•What is Bayesian Theorem?
•What do consumers/public want of forecasts?
•How did doubt, and the absence of doubt effect medicine?
•What is the illusion of control?
•How should a leader make decisions?
•What is regression to the mean?
•Who are the foxes and hedgehogs?
•How are confidence and competence correlated?
•What is the dilution effect?
•What is the difference between a fixed mindset and a growth mindset?
•What is perpetual beta?
•What was the quality of the forecast that was sent to the central bank during in November 2010?
•What happened to the CIA possibility chart?
•How can an economic crisis be predicted?
•What happened at the Bay of Pigs invasion?
•Did decision did Seydlitz make? What was the outcome?
•What is Auftragstaktik?
•How have military decisions changed?

Your questions are important and will take priority. If you have questions about the book's content or related ideas, either let me know what your questions are or raise them during the discussion.