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Join our Lighthouse Live Session and learn from real Lighthouse users.

Creating Roadmaps with Probabilistic Forecasting

What if your roadmap didn't require weeks of estimation, and still held up under pressure?
In this practical 1-hour session, Lorenzo Santoro will share a lean approach to roadmap planning that focuses effort only where it matters. You'll discover how to combine team expertise with historical data and Monte Carlo forecasting to build plans that evolve with reality—instead of breaking at the first surprise.

What you'll learn: A repeatable, data-informed approach to creating realistic, adaptable roadmaps that give you clarity and predictability while reducing painful replanning cycles.

About Lorenzo: Lorenzo is a Software Engineer turned Product Owner at Hitachi Energy. Working in a conservative market, he bridges the gap between modern practices and organizational realities, answering the inevitable "When will it be done?" and "Can we deliver this by a specific date?" questions that every team faces. After experimenting with various traditional estimation techniques, he switched to probabilistic forecasting and never looked back.

Who should attend: Product Managers, Product Owners, Project Managers, and Engineering Managers—anyone responsible for creating roadmaps who wants to stop wasting their team's time (and their own) on estimation theatre.

Related topics

Lean Product Management
Agile and Scrum
Kanban
Lean Project Management

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