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Professor Nicholas G. Reich
Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
Tuesday, October 5, 2021, 4 p.m.

How to Forecast a Pandemic: Lessons from COVID-19

You must register via the UMass Zoom link: https://umass-amherst.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_FZrzFUBMRf6aZskBdVHI7g

Nicholas Reich leads a team of researchers whose ensemble-model infectious disease forecasts have been among the nation’s most reliable at predicting COVID-19 deaths. His expertise has placed him in high demand among federal agencies, data science researchers, and national media.

In this lecture, Professor Reich will provide an overview of infectious disease forecasting, detailing how for the last decade public health officials in the U.S. have worked with academic partners to improve our understanding about how outbreaks can be forecasted. He will describe his research group's close collaboration with the CDC and over 100 research groups from around the world to create operational forecasting systems for COVID-19. Finally, he will explain insights that we have gleaned from these projects about the predictability of epidemics and some of the key challenges facing this still-emerging field of inquiry. These are matters of global importance where Reich is at the forefront of research and debate.

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