Windsurfing

**Speaker:** Mick Cooney Survival analysis is a statistical method for analyzing the expected duration of time until an event occurs. In this one-hour talk, we will walk through the application of survival analysis to life insurance policy lapses, starting from foundational concepts and moving toward Bayesian modeling approaches using Stan. We will begin by setting the scene with a practical example: the impact of the 2008-2011 credit crisis on Irish life insurance. This provides a backdrop to introduce core survival analysis concepts, including censoring, truncation, survival functions, and hazard functions. Next, we will review classic approaches to modeling survival data. We will cover the non-parametric Kaplan-Meier estimator, discuss standard parametric models, and examine semi-parametric methods like the Cox Proportional Hazards model. The second half of the talk will focus on Bayesian survival analysis. Using R and Stan, we will demonstrate how to construct Bayesian models for time-to-event data. We will step through the process of assessing model fit and discuss strategies for improving model performance, focusing on handling right-censored data and quantifying uncertainty. This session provides an overview for practitioners interested in applying both traditional and Bayesian survival analysis techniques to their own data problems.

Join us for this Thursday evening cycle on the southside of the city up to the Killakee viewpoint and back. It’s a decent climb and offers some great views over the city. 🚨Warning: this cycle has a steep/long climb. 🔴 Back and front lights on your bike are essential for this cycle. The total distance is 25km, and so not far but it has 350m of climbing taken on all at once. For perspective, 350m is about twice the amount of climbing as the Thursday Howth cycle. If you are unsure of your ability to do this, I recommend trying the Thursday Howth Cycle first. We do not go fast up the climb, we go as slow as needed. Here is our plan for the evening: 1️⃣We leave at 6:30PM from Portobello Harbour 2️⃣We cycle south through Rathfarham and climb up to Killakee via Stocking Lane 3️⃣ We'll head back to starting point via Cruagh Road. 4️⃣ If time allows, we'll make a stop at The Merry Ploughboy pub for a break and refreshment before heading back to the start. See link for komoot map below: https://www.komoot.com/tour/1944062322?ref=itd&share_token=avWE4P7gDG72obQjmW7n6nUD67jQdNauD2gbxInZd0955579N5&ref=its ⛑ PLEASE WEAR A HELMET and bring a tube in case you have a puncture. WAIVER & RELEASE: We are a group composed of volunteers. We are not a professional organisation. As such, each of us is responsible for our own safety and well-being during an organised event. The organiser(s) is not in any way responsible for any participant on the trip. However, as a group of friends, we make an effort to look out for one another to the best of our ability. By joining this event, you and your guests agree to and accept the following waiver and liability amendment to the Meetup Terms of Service at https://www.meetup.com/terms/ ; 1. My guests and I have read the Meetup Terms of Service at https://www.meetup.com/terms/ and hereby amend it to include the same waiver and release therein to this event's organiser(s) and participants.

## Weekly Twin Hearts Meditation – Clondalkin **Location:** Pranic Healing Centre, Clondalkin, Dublin **Day & Time:** Every Thursday, **11:00am – 12:00pm** **Facilitator:** Hazel Keogh **Cost:** Donation based **RSVP:** 085 212 4080 ### A Midweek Space for Calm, Healing and Inner Peace You are warmly invited to join our weekly **Twin Hearts Meditation Group**, an uplifting and powerful meditation that is open to everyone. Twin Hearts Meditation is a beautiful guided practice designed to promote inner peace, emotional balance and a sense of connection with yourself and the world around you. It is suitable for beginners and experienced meditators alike. No previous meditation experience is needed – just a willingness to relax and enjoy the moment. ### What to Expect Each Thursday morning session offers: * A calm, welcoming and supportive environment * Gentle guidance throughout the meditation * Time to relax, breathe and unwind * A chance to release stress and tension * A sense of inner stillness and wellbeing * Optional tea and chats afterwards Many people find this meditation leaves them feeling lighter, clearer and more positive for the rest of the day. ### Benefits of Twin Hearts Meditation Regular practice can help to: * Reduce stress and anxiety * Support emotional wellbeing * Increase feelings of calm and clarity * Improve focus and positivity * Promote compassion and inner balance * Create a greater sense of connection and peace ### Session Details * Arrive from **10:45am** * Meditation begins at **11:00am** * Session finishes at **12:00pm** * Relaxed community atmosphere ### Donations This group is **donation based**, making it accessible to all. Suggested contribution: **€10 – €20**, but any amount is gratefully accepted. All donations help support the running of the centre and community activities. ### Location **Pranic Healing Centre** Unit 1A Village Centre Clondalkin, Dublin ### RSVP To confirm your place, please contact: **Hazel Keogh – 085 212 4080**

Capoeira Água de Beber, would like to invite you to our Family Natal Capoeirando with present professora Belinhá from portugal capoeira maculelé for the First time in Ireland. Workshops of Capoeira, Maculelé, Samba de roda, and Cocó de roda and Frevo. Come and enjoy with us 2 days of Brazilian culture dances and martial arts. Dates: 8/12/23. 9/12/23 Location: St Gabriels Playgroup Clontarf, Dublin 3. For more information: cecab.ireland@gmail.com mobile 0874053996 mamaozinhocapoeira@hotmail.com [https://www.facebook.com/Dublinschoolofcapoeira](https://www.facebook.com/Dublinschoolofcapoeira?__cft__[0]=AZX_Vg06wRLTSb9AMM8FZE1gSF-bg4cQ_qsIKvJ5YtEwLfuGFGh99kaNAnvExpu3JPzl8LNYKWcgYe3A_Lk73wksdVhQI1AtpAsePOBjUOsCEPM-33Xi3DCfhRKscSgJRPA&__tn__=q) [https://dublinschoolcapoeira.wordpress.com/contact/](https://dublinschoolcapoeira.wordpress.com/contact/?fbclid=IwAR3qvy0eEScBC9AFUvUkwJf2kxQDbNadFHKsNTHzLObADGa-YPnWZv3ObLM) The Organize of the Event; Francisco and Matilda Co-ordenator Master: Robeiro Queiroz. All the activities realized through CECAB are designated to execution of social responsibility projects, further on the sportive, cultural and artistic activities through the realization of the shows, presentations and events related to Capoeira and Brazilian culture.

Come join me for a yoga session at Sandyford Community Centre! This is a mixed level class from absolute beginners and experienced yogis alike. Whether you are looking to destress, connect with yourself, or simply move your body, this class is for you! I will guide you through a series of poses with different modifications to suit every body, moving mindfully in a slow flow style. Please bring your own mat and if you need to borrow one reach out on Instagram or WhatsApp, I have a few spare :)

Let's improve our self-awareness, by getting into the habit of writing our thoughts and emotions. & Let's enhance our curiosity and compassion in others, by giving others and ourselves an insight into the unknown lives of strangers. Join us for our 1.5 hours writing event. We will have some exercises prepared that give us the opportunity to write and share about our thoughts/emotions/experiences and use a variety of prompts. HOMEWORK: Before the event, we ask participants to reflect and write +/- 10 minutes about a time they felt proud of something or someone. Participants can choose which parts of their writing they feel comfortable sharing. **FEE:** €5 to support the group. Please pay the organiser at the event. We accept cash/revolut/paypal. **NOTE 1:** No writing experience is required to attend this event. Only a curiosity in ourselves and others. **NOTE 2:** Please provide your own notebook/paper and pen.

All surf equipment provided, Surf board + Wetsuit, Surf Lesson and Return Bus from Dublin. Hot showers & Changing area. Beginners welcome , 2.5 hour surf lesson with our instructors on the beach and in the water. More advanced options are also available. Make sure to bring a towel to get changed, swimsuit, sun cream and a snack + drink. Payment €109 via Revolut to @surfireland , See you on the waves, Davey

**Registration/booking on our system at least 24 hours before class is necessary. We do not take walk ins/your rsvp on meetup is not a booking.** BOOK [HERE](themovementstudio.ie/handstandsandcoffee) From beginner to winner! We have a special weekly 2 hour class that is more like a weekly workshop. It's a very social class, with amazing coffee, great coaching, and smiles and good work being done. Fancy trying something new? Spending time safely outside your comfort zone? Please visit themovementstudio.ie/handstandsandcoffee to book your spot Registration/booking is necessary. We do not take walk ins.

Join me for a sea swim/dip at the Forty Foot on Sunday 29th March, at 230pm. Remember i am not a lifeguard so take care to know your limits in cold water, especially at this time of year. Bring your warm clothes, warm drink and your warm company. see you all there, down the steps at the forty foot.

Learn to dance the lindy hop and charleston. Join our famously fun and friendly Dublin Swing Dance Community. **HOW DO I BOOK A TICKET?** [Tickets can be booked via our website failteswing.ie.](https://www.failteswing.ie/classes) **WHAT HAPPENS?** We have swing dance class for complete beginners to start the night. This is followed by social dancing, socialising, live jazz music, swing DJs and some swing dance performances. **TIME:** Once a month on Saturday: 7:00 - 8:00pm Drop-In Beginner Swing Dance Class 8:00 - 11:30pm Social dance, live jazz band, swing dance performances. **PRICE:** €22 on line or €24 at the door. [You must book in advance on our website failtesswing.ie](https://www.failteswing.ie/classes). **VIDEOS:** Check out our [Video and Photo Gallery.](https://www.failteswing.ie/performance-gallery) **REFUNDS:** If you can't make it and you let us know at least 24 hours before the event starts we will issue a refund. The 10% booking fee is non-refundable. Tickets are not transferable. No refunds once the event begins. **WHAT ELSE TO KNOW ABOUT:** • Swing Dance & Solo Jazz Course @ St Catherines Community Sports Centre, The Liberties , Dublin 8. All welcome, no experience or partner required. [Get Tickets at failteswing.ie.](https://www.failteswing.ie/classes) • Private classes- Fast track your learning and enjoyment of solo and partnered swing dancing. Contact [failtehotclub@gmail.com](mailto:failtehotclub@gmail.com) for prices and more information. • Gift cards- You can't go wrong with the gift of dance. Put a swing in the step of someone special with one of our [eGift Cards available via failteswing.ie.](https://www.failteswing.ie/gift-card)

Are you Solo and Single!! Easily Make new 💑 friends🍻 with Speed Friending! No need for Apps 😀We are meeting for social drinks including soft drinks 🍺🍸🍷 at the Lemon & Duke Bar. We will be inside the Bar area. The Lemon & Duke Bar has also great food 🍗🍖🍰🍮 . Please, at least buy a drink or a soft drink or so, as we may not be welcomed again to certain bars. We will go to another late bar afterwards. So Dress Nice & neat please. Leave your surfing cloths and 🏖 surfboards at home please.😂 https://youtu.be/wD0Mm6WIcYs?feature=shared Many new people come solo to socialize and make new friends, so do not worry if you are solo, you are welcome to join us. I will introduce you to others in the group,so you are no longer solo. 😆Welcome to ask me questions about hiking gear and 🐬🐠🐡 scuba diving.

**Saint-Tropez Vibes**: Yachts, stars, sun-soaked glamour on the French Riviera! Just down from our HQ, we're launching an epic all-inclusive trip for the International Marathon du Golfe de Saint-Tropez on March 29, 2026! Run the stunning coastline: Marathon, 2x21k relay, or 10k. Breathtaking views of beaches, vineyards & hills! Spots fill FAST – [https://eatsleeptrailrun.com/sttropezmarathon](https://eatsleeptrailrun.com/sttropezmarathon)

A fun way to compare wines from two different countries at a time. House Wine is squaring off two countries' wines against each other each Thursday in March. March 12, March 19, March 26, and the Finals April 2nd. Meet and Greet format....show up after 7pm, pay your $15 at the cash register, get your wine glass, and enjoy. I will get a table reserved for the group. Remember, you may bring in your own food or takeout. Attendance is your agreement to the Group's Waiver of Liability terms. See our Group homepage for details. Parking is tough at House Wine; there is a municipal lot one-half block north of the shop and sometimes parking at the lot behind Jet Pizza, accessed by the lane between the east House Wine parking lot and the residence to the east.

**Complex Trauma Support Group** Our group is intended for survivors of complex trauma. If you are here, it’s likely that so much of who you are and what you have experienced in this life is actually invisible to most people––to family, society, coworkers, and the people who are around you. We are a peer-led group of survivors creating opportunities for ourselves and others to share our experiences, share support, and build relationships in kind community together. Survivor experiences might include: child sexual abuse, incest, child trafficking, and other experiences of people living with traumatic dissociation and complex PTSD. **What to expect at your first meeting:** Currently, we are offering a bi-monthly in person group at 2:00pm on the first and third Sunday of the month. The only criterion for joining the group is that you are a survivor of trauma wishing to have more kindness in your own life and share kindness with others, and that you agree to practice to group’s relational agreements available for view here: https://www.kindgroups.com/agreements. Joining the group is free of charge. We ask that new people connect with us for 30 minutes on the phone or on zoom before coming to their first group, so that we can determine together that we are a good fit. Our meetings last approximately 90 minutes. Participants are never required to share. You’re also welcome to choose a pseudonym and you will never be asked for private information. You are welcome to leave at any time. The kindness that survivors can share when among others who have survived similar childhood experiences is something we rarely get to experience. Time spent with others who understand even a little bit more about us is a relief. Our hope is to help ourselves and others experience that we are not alone. We wish for our efforts to be a cause of kindness in our own lives and the lives of each other. You can read more about the groups at www.kindgroups.com.

Enjoy a bit of Columbus culinary history at Carfagna's market, wine bar and ristorante. We will gather for a glass of wine or two in the wine bar at 6:30 with dinner at 7pm. Arrive early if you like, shop and place your items in a cooler in your car. This is a pay-on-your-own event. I will have a reservation for twenty (20) at 7pm. Message me if you want to be on my table. Keep your reservation up to date as the Attendance and Release of Liability provisions are enforced, including the 48 hour No-Show Rule. See the first page of Group Page for details. Read about the history of Carfagna's here and also see their weekly specials. https://carfagnas.com/about-carfagnas/