Next Meetup

Oct'18-Using automatic derivatives to predict a ping pong match winner(Alex Fun)
We look forward to seeing you at our October meetup Arrive from 5:45pm for a 6pm talk. Using automatic derivatives to predict a ping pong match winner. TALK OUTLINE: In a recent and popular Cross Validated post, the following question was asked: “I bet with my colleague that I will beat him in fifty consecutive ping pong games. So far I have won 15, what are my chances of winning the next 35 games?” -- from https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/329521/ In this talk, Alex presents his own playful take on this problem. He proposes the following data generation process for the score-line of each game: The original poster is a far superior player who still wishes to make the game fun for their opponent (they are colleagues after all). This leads to a regression problem that cannot be fit using standard regression packages. Instead, he will demonstrate how to, and why you should (hint: it's magic!), use packages like TMB, rstan, and tensorflow, that provide automatic differentiation in R, to find maximum likelihood estimates for the regression coefficients. In addition, he will touch upon Rcpp, neural networks, and show you lots of beautiful maths and graphs. BIO: Alex is very happy to be able to return to give another talk at SURF. By day, he works with sports data, by night, he likes bicycles, coffee, wine, cooking, and learning more about statistics and machine learning.

SMSA

280 Pitt St · Sydney

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We meet monthly to:

hear talks on R-related topics

sharing knowledge and experience

provide R beginners with an opportunity to meet more experienced users

discover the power of R as a serious, general and industrial strength data mining, analysis, visualisation and reporting tool, for use in commerce, government and other fields

see case studies of real-life R applications in industry

discover related commodity, open source and free tools

meet experts in specific R packages, techniques and applications

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