On using expert information in Bayesian statistics

This is an online event. You can register here: https://www.crowdcast.io/e/on-using-expert/register

About the speaker

Duco Veen is an Assistant Professor at the Department of Global Health situated at the Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care of the University Medical Center Utrecht. In that capacity, he is involved in the COVID-RED, AI for Health, and Trials@Home projects. In addition, he is appointed as Extraordinary Professor at the Optentia Research Programme of North-West University, South Africa. Duco works on the development of ShinyStan and has been elected as a member of the Stan Governing Body.

Abstract

Duco will discuss how expert knowledge can be captured and formulated as prior information for Bayesian analyses. This process is also called expert elicitation. He will highlight some ways to improve the quality of the expert elicitation and provide case examples of work he did with his colleagues. Additionally, Duco will discuss how the captured expert knowledge can be contrasted with evidence provided by traditional data collection methods or other prior information. This can be done, for instance, for reasons of quality control or training purposes where experts reflect on their provided information.