What are the important ballot measures and races this year? How will they go?


Details
Let's discuss items on ballots in states as well as races other than the presidential race that may have a national impact.
Abortion is a huge issue this year. Ten states are set to have abortion rights on their November ballot—including some where the procedure is now banned. Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, Mew York, and South Dakota all have measures to make abortion a protected right in their state laws and/or constitution.
Abortion is totally banned in Missouri and South Dakota, meaning the ballot measures in those states would overturn the bans if they’re passed by voters and restore abortion access. They would also have an impact in Florida, which bans abortion after six weeks, and Arizona, where abortion is banned after 15 weeks. Nebraska has a 12-week ban in place now, so voting in favor of the pro-abortion rights amendment would undo that ban.
**https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2024/09/13/heres-where-abortion-is-on-the-ballot-in-november-as-nebraska-measures-upheld-in-court/**
The Florida ballot measure is a significant example because there is a ban on abortions after 6 weeks enacted by the state legislature. The initiative would provide a constitutional right to abortion before viability or when "necessary to protect the patient's health, as determined by the patient's healthcare provider." The following language would be added to the state constitution: "Except as provided in Article X, Section 22, no law shall prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider."
Questions: Will these measures pass? If they do, will the state legislature try to restrict or overturn them like the Ohio legislature attempt? Will they have an impact on the presidential election?
Democratic and Republican candidates are locked in tight races for Senate in Florida, Texas and Ohio, three states that have yielded increasingly close polls in recent weeks, according to a survey released Thursday. The Marist poll showed the incumbents holding slight leads in each state but within the margin of error.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R) had the largest lead, ahead of Democratic Rep. Colin Allred by 5 points, 51 percent to 46 percent. Meanwhile, Florida Sen. Rick Scott (R) led Democratic former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell by 2 points, 50 percent to 48 percent, and Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) led Republican Bernie Moreno by 2 points, 50 percent to 48 percent. Meanwhile, former President Trump has single-digit but somewhat larger leads in each of these states over Vice President Harris. He leads in Texas by 7 points, Florida by 4 points and Ohio by 6 points.
There are 7 other races that are close and may flip the Senate. West Virginia is essentially out of reach for Democrats, who had little chance of holding this seat without Sen. Joe Manchin running for reelection. Manchin, now an independent who caucuses with Democrats, is likely to be succeeded by Republican Jim Justice, the state’s two-term governor. Democrat Jon Tester, who’s running for a fourth term in Montana, a state Trump has twice carried by double digits, remains the most vulnerable Senate incumbent this year. Michigan remains the most competitive open seat on this list. Democrat Elissa Slotkin has held a narrow edge in the race to succeed retiring Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow. Democratic Sen. Bob Casey’s race against Republican challenger Dave McCormick in Pennsylvania is close in light of heavy GOP outside spending, some tighter polling and the competitiveness of the presidential race in a state that is part of Democrats’ so-called blue wall of must-win states. In Arizona, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego led Lake by 10 points among likely voters in a Marist poll and 13 points in a Fox News survey, both from mid-September. Lake was polling behind Trump in both surveys by 6 points and 8 points respectively.
**https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/04/politics/senate-race-rankings-october-2024/index.html**
There's a Women's March scheduled for Nov. 2. Will this kind of mobilization influence voter turnout and the results?
**https://www.womensmarch.com**
What other factors will impact the election(s)?

What are the important ballot measures and races this year? How will they go?